The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Melbourne Mustangs 35.1%
Draw 18.8%
CBR Brave 46.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
16.2%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
16.8%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Mustangs's form might have worsened.
CBR Brave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CBR Brave's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Mustangs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CBR Brave than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CBR Brave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Melbourne Mustangs - CBR Brave Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Melbourne Mustangs will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
08:47, 0 - 1, Maylan J. (G), Marks C. (A), Steven T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:55, 0 - 2, Kubara C. (G), Ratcliffe J. (A), Todd C. (A2)
16:33, 0 - 3, Bates P. (G), Marks C. (A),
3rd Period (4 - 1)
03:10, 1 - 3, McIntosh C. (G), Lindal B. (A), Sasaki Y. (A2)
05:14, 2 - 3, Gaeta D. (G), Caron P. (A), Lindal B. (A2)
15:01, 2 - 4, Ratcliffe J. (G), Bates P. (A),
17:26, 3 - 4, Lindal B. (G), Sasaki Y. (A), Klomp D. (A2)
18:36, 4 - 4, Klomp D. (G), Crane B. (A), Caron P. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:58, 4 - 5, Bates P. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 4.
Melbourne Mustangs is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
CBR Brave's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
CBR Brave may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Mustangs won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 72:81. (average 3.6:4.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Mustangs won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 4:3.2).
Australia
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