The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ERC Ingolstadt 39.1%
Draw 22.2%
Adler Mannheim 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
21.9%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
24%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Adler Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ERC Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adler Mannheim than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adler Mannheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
ERC Ingolstadt - Adler Mannheim Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Williams D. (G)
56. Franzreb M. (G)
4. Ellis M. (C)
52. Mattinen N.
75. Breton A.
4. Renouf D.
37. Barber R.
11. Reichel K. (A)
98. Abbandonato P.
19. Esposito L. (A)
92. Schmolz D.
22. Plachta M.
Line 2
25. Huttl L. (A)
9. Gawanke L.
14. Wasenden E.
82. Shaw H.
17. Girduckis A.
13. Macek B.
9. Powell M.
38. Brown P.
91. Sheen R.
74. Schutz J.
Line 3
55. Tropmann E.
54. Poirier J.
2. Ruopp S.
7. Gilmour J.
8. Pul E.
28. Ehl A.
86. Pietta D. (A)
39. Calce M.
89. Keating A.
34. Kuhnhackl T. (C)
Line 4
21. Appendino N.
72. Nieleck L.
24. Vinzens P.
44. Greco A.
44. Schindler N.
73. Solow Z.
86. Heim M.
Substitutes
1. Stettmer J. (G)
30. Hildebrand J. (G)
Coaches
. French M.
. Eakins D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
10:37, Ellis M. (2 min),
16:44, Pietta D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:32, 1 - 0, Sheen R. (G),
17:51, Barber R. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:39, Mattinen N. (2 min),
09:26, Calce M. (2 min),
09:47, 2 - 0, Schmolz D. (G), Barber R. (A),
11:21, Shaw H. (2 min),
13:42, 2 - 1, Gawanke L. (G), Esposito L. (A),
14:02, 2 - 2, Plachta M. (G), Solow Z. (A), Gilmour J. (A2)
15:15, Powell M. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:31, 3 - 2, Abbandonato P. (G), Breton A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Ingolstadt (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mannheim has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Mannheim may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ingolstadt has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:41 (averaging 2.8:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ingolstadt against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 27:20 goals (averaging 2.7:2 per game).
Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now
Adler Mannheim: 13.91% ERC Ingolstadt: 11.28%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Adler Mannheim
9
5
0
2
2
30:24
17
11
ERC Ingolstadt
8
2
1
1
4
21:28
9
Last Results with these Odds
Adler Mannheim - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
Germany
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Williams D. (G) 
Franzreb M. (G) 
Ellis M. (C) 
Reichel K. (A) 
Wasenden E. 
Ruopp S. 
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