Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	ERC Ingolstadt		EV Zug

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.20	2.15
	2.7	4.06	2.18
	2.62	4.33	2.11
	2.6	4	2.08
	2.69	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.53)	4.12 ↑ (4)	2.12 (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ERC Ingolstadt
34.9%

Draw
22.1%

EV Zug
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

22.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ERC Ingolstadt - EV Zug Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
Overtime (0 - 1)

Preview

EV Zug has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

EV Zug may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

ERC Ingolstadt - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.39%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

EV Zug - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ERC Ingolstadt
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Bern - ERC Ingolstadt	5:1 ✺
23.08.26	Black Wings Linz - ERC Ingolstadt	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	4:3 penalties ✺
German Ice Hockey League
04.04.26	ERC Ingolstadt - EHC München	3:7 ✺
02.04.26	EHC München - ERC Ingolstadt	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWWLL
- EV Zug
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	EV Zug - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	4:1 ✺
27.08.26	Motor České Budějovice - EV Zug	0:3 ✺
Dolomiten Cup
23.08.26	Kometa Brno - EV Zug	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	EV Zug - Eisbären Berlin	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.26	SCL Tigers - EV Zug	N/A
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
05.09.25	EV Zug - ERC Ingolstadt	3:7
07.10.14	ERC Ingolstadt - EV Zug	3:2 OT
04.09.14	EV Zug - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2
European Trophy
15.08.13	ERC Ingolstadt - EV Zug	4:0

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