Match Info

Olympic Games Women

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Eurosport 1, SVT 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 8


	Finland W		Canada W

	1	X	2
	51	14	1.01
	28	14	1.04
	30	13.46	1.03	Watch
	26	9.5	1.03
	26	14.5	1.04
	31	13	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	32 ↑ (23.57)	13.08 ↑ (11.07)	1.03 ↓ (1.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finland W
2.9%

Draw
7.1%

Canada W
90%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.9%

8.4%

87.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Canada W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Finland W - Canada W Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Canada will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Canada (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Canada (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Ahola S. (G) Ottawa Charge	35. Desbiens A. (G) Montreal Victoire
9. Laitinen N. (A)	14. Fast R. Toronto Sceptres
7. Rantala S. Frolunda	3. Larocque J. (A) Ottawa Charge
16. Nieminen P. Lulea	10. Fillier S. New York Sirens
77. Tapani S. Boston Fleet	19. Jenner B. (C) Ottawa Charge
33. Karvinen M. (C) Vancouver Goldeneyes	95. Watts D. Toronto Sceptres
Line 2
88. Savolainen R. (A) Ottawa Charge	23. Ambrose E. Montreal Victoire
8. Suoranta E. Ilves Tampere	17. Shelton E. Toronto Sceptres
61. Nuutinen E. Kiekko-Espoo	7. Stacey L. Montreal Victoire
40. Tulus N. Brynas	40. Turnbull B. (A) Toronto Sceptres
24. Vainikka V. Brynas	26. Clark E. Ottawa Charge
Line 3
2. Karjalainen S. Skelleftea	2. Jaques S. Vancouver Goldeneyes
6. Hiirikoski J. Lulea	42. Thompson C. Vancouver Goldeneyes
10. Holopainen E. Frolunda	24. Spooner N. Toronto Sceptres
12. Vanhanen S. Brynas	20. Nurse S. Vancouver Goldeneyes
22. Schalin J.	27. Maltais E. Toronto Sceptres
Line 4
5. Yrjola S.	4. Tabin K. Montreal Victoire
32. Vesa E. Frolunda	94. Gardiner J. Vancouver Goldeneyes
18. Nylund J. Brynas	43. O'Neill K. New York Sirens
91. Liikala J.	88. Gosling J. Seattle Torrent
Substitutes
36. Keisala A. (G) Hameenlinna	38. Maschmeyer E. (G) Vancouver Goldeneyes
19. Kuoppala I. Skelleftea
Coaches
. Lehtera T.	. Ryan T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:12, 0 - 1, Gardiner J. (G), Gosling J. (A), O'Neill K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
11:38, 0 - 2, Watts D. (G), Fillier S. (A), Jaques S. (A2)
13:40, 0 - 3, O'Neill K. (G), Shelton E. (A), Gosling J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:22, 0 - 4, Clark E. (G), Turnbull B. (A), Stacey L. (A2)
13:29, 0 - 5, Clark E. (G), Stacey L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 0.

In this match, Canada is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Finland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 24:96. (average 1.2:4.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland W hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey Women
10.02.26	Finland W - Switzerland W	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Czech Republic W - Finland W	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	USA W - Finland W	5:0 ✺
Euro Hockey Tour Finland Women
12.12.25	Finland W - Czech Republic W	0:5 ✺
11.12.25	Finland W - Switzerland W	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Canada W hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey Women
10.02.26	Canada W - USA W	0:5 ✺
09.02.26	Canada W - Czech Republic W	5:1 ✺
07.02.26	Switzerland W - Canada W	0:4 ✺
Friendly International Hockey Women
13.12.25	Canada W - USA W	1:4 ✺
10.12.25	Canada W - USA W	4:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship Women
19.04.25	Canada W - Finland W	8:1
10.04.25	Canada W - Finland W	5:0
Euro Hockey Tour Finland Women
14.12.24	Canada W - Finland W	3:0
IIHF World Championship Women
04.04.24	Canada W - Finland W	4:1
25.08.22	Finland W - Canada W	1:4
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey Women
04.02.22	Canada W - Finland W	11:1
Friendly International Hockey Women
14.11.21	Finland W - Canada W	1:5

Finland W - Canada W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide