What is the expert prediction for Canada W vs USA W?

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Canada W vs USA W Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, February 10, 2026)

Match Info

Olympic Games Women

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Santa Giulia Ice Hockey Arena (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 1
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 1, HBO Max, TV4 Play
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Usa	NBC Sports App, Peacock


	Canada W		USA W

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.45	1.71
	3.83	4.07	1.64
	3.87	4.38	1.73	Watch
	3.5	4	1.67
	4.11	4.45	1.67
	3.85	4.4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.31)	4.29 ↑ (4.21)	1.68 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canada W
23.9%

Draw
21.4%

USA W
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

22.1%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canada W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canada W's form might have worsened.

USA W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USA W's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	0%	90.5%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - USA (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: USA W will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): USA W will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Canada (votes: 1 - 8.3%). USA (votes: 11 - 91.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Desbiens A. (G) Montreal Victoire	31. Frankel A. (G) Boston Fleet
14. Fast R. (A) Toronto Sceptres	10. Edwards L.
3. Larocque J. Ottawa Charge	5. Keller M. (A) Boston Fleet
24. Spooner N. Toronto Sceptres	21. Knight H. (C) USA
19. Jenner B. (C) Ottawa Charge	25. Carpenter A. (A) Seattle Torrent
27. Maltais E. Toronto Sceptres	17. Curl-Salemme B. Minnesota Frost
Line 2
23. Ambrose E. Montreal Victoire	8. Winn H. Boston Fleet
17. Shelton E. Toronto Sceptres	4. Harvey C.
10. Fillier S. New York Sirens	37. Murphy A.
20. Nurse S. Vancouver Goldeneyes	27. Heise T. Minnesota Frost
95. Watts D. Toronto Sceptres	23. Bilka H. Seattle Torrent
Line 3
2. Jaques S. Vancouver Goldeneyes	3. Barnes C. Seattle Torrent
42. Thompson C. Vancouver Goldeneyes	2. Stecklein L. Minnesota Frost
7. Stacey L. Montreal Victoire	13. Zumwinkle G. Minnesota Frost
40. Turnbull B. (A) Toronto Sceptres	12. Pannek K. Minnesota Frost
26. Clark E. Ottawa Charge	26. Coyne Schofield K. Minnesota Frost
Line 4
4. Tabin K. Montreal Victoire	6. Guilday R. Ottawa Charge
94. Gardiner J. Vancouver Goldeneyes	9. Simms K.
43. O'Neill K. New York Sirens	22. Janecke T.
88. Gosling J. Seattle Torrent	24. Dunne J.
Substitutes
38. Maschmeyer E. (G) Vancouver Goldeneyes	33. Philips G. (G) Ottawa Charge
	16. Scamurra H. Montreal Victoire
Coaches
. Ryan T.	. Wroblewski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:45, 0 - 1, Harvey C. (G), Winn H. (A), Knight H. (A2)
06:23, Turnbull B. (2 min),
17:18, 0 - 2, Bilka H. (G), Murphy A. (A), Harvey C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:58, Fillier S. (2 min),
01:21, 0 - 3, Simms K. (G), Janecke T. (A), Murphy A. (A2)
01:21, (2 min),
07:25, O'Neill K. (2 min),
09:51, Simms K. (2 min),
13:00, 0 - 4, Bilka H. (G), Murphy A. (A), Harvey C. (A2)
19:52, Heise T. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:12, Larocque J. (2 min),
11:53, 0 - 5, Edwards L. (G), Curl-Salemme B. (A),
11:53, Desbiens A. ↓, Maschmeyer E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canada won 0.

USA is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Canada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

USA will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canada won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:63. (average 3.1:3.2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canada W hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey Women
09.02.26	Canada W - Czech Republic W	5:1 ✺
07.02.26	Switzerland W - Canada W	0:4 ✺
Friendly International Hockey Women
13.12.25	Canada W - USA W	1:4 ✺
10.12.25	Canada W - USA W	4:10 ✺
08.11.25	USA W - Canada W	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL
- USA W hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey Women
09.02.26	Switzerland W - USA W	0:5 ✺
07.02.26	USA W - Finland W	5:0 ✺
05.02.26	USA W - Czech Republic W	5:1 ✺
Friendly International Hockey Women
13.12.25	Canada W - USA W	1:4 ✺
10.12.25	Canada W - USA W	4:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Hockey Women
13.12.25	Canada W - USA W	1:4
10.12.25	Canada W - USA W	4:10
08.11.25	USA W - Canada W	6:1
06.11.25	USA W - Canada W	4:1
IIHF World Championship Women
20.04.25	USA W - Canada W	4:3 OT
13.04.25	Canada W - USA W	1:2
Friendly International Hockey Women
08.02.25	Canada W - USA W	3:1

Canada W - USA W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide