Match Info

SDHL Women

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Frölunda		Luleå

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.4
	2.59	3.78	2.29	Watch
	2.51	3.64	2.3
	2.65	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.69)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	2.27 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frölunda
35.7%

Draw
24.4%

Luleå
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

24.7%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frölunda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Luleå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-4%)

Frölunda - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:56, 1 - 0, Nix E. (G), Bergeby Hallbeck E. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:18, 2 - 0, Lundin S. (G), Vesa E. (A), Holopainen E. (A2)
19:46, 3 - 0, Holopainen E. (G),

Preview

Frölunda is Qualified for SDHL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Luleå is Qualified for SDHL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 4.

Frölunda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Luleå is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Luleå may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Frölunda has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Frölunda won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:48. (average 2.1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Frölunda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 2.3:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Lulea W	6	3	1	0	2	11:15	11
8	Frolunda W	5	2	0	0	3	10:11	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frölunda HC Women
Swedish SDHL Women
11.01.26	Modo - Frölunda	6:2 ✺
09.01.26	Brynäs - Frölunda	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Frölunda - Farjestad	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Linköpings - Frölunda	1:3 ✺
30.12.25	HV71 - Frölunda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW
- Luleå HF Women
Swedish SDHL Women
11.01.26	Luleå - Djurgårdens	4:3 penalties ✺
09.01.26	Luleå - SDE HF	5:2 ✺
29.12.25	Brynäs - Luleå	2:3 ✺
28.12.25	Modo - Luleå	2:3 OT ✺
19.12.25	Luleå - Modo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish SDHL Women
22.11.25	Luleå - Frölunda	4:3 OT
12.10.25	Frölunda - Luleå	3:1
05.09.25	Luleå - Frölunda	1:2
16.03.25	Frölunda - Luleå	3:2
14.03.25	Luleå - Frölunda	1:2
12.03.25	Luleå - Frölunda	2:3 OT
17.01.25	Frölunda - Luleå	3:4 OT

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