Match Info
Olympic Games WomenDate: 9 February 2026, MondayLocation: Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena (Milan)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
Bulgaria | HBO Max |
Croatia | HBO Max |
Czech-republic | HBO Max |
Denmark | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
Finland | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
France | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
Germany | Eurosport 2 |
Hungary | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
Italy | Eurosport 2 |
Moldova | HBO Max |
Montenegro | HBO Max |
Netherlands | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
North-macedonia | HBO Max |
Norway | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
Poland | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
Portugal | Eurosport 2 |
Romania | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
Serbia | HBO Max |
Slovenia | HBO Max |
Spain | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
Sweden | Eurosport 2, HBO Max |
Turkey | Eurosport 2 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
Usa | NBC Sports App, Peacock |
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Japan W |
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Italy W |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.09 |
4.05 |
2.95 |
|
 |
2.06 |
3.93 |
3.03 |
|
 |
2.01 |
3.98 |
3.11 |
Watch |
 |
2 |
3.8 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.06 |
3.95 |
3.04 |
|
 |
2.05 |
4 |
3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↑ (2.02) |
3.95 ↑ (3.75) |
2.98 ↑ (2.87) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Japan W 45.4% | Draw 23.5% | Italy W 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Italy W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Japan W - Italy W Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Italy will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0, 3rd Period - Japan (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 2nd Period - Japan (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
20. Masuhara M. (G)
| 1. Durante G. (G)
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6. Sato K.
| 18. Stocker F. Sodertalje
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3. Shiga Ao. Modo
| 93. Mattivi N. (C) Lulea
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15. Ukita R.
| 11. Reyes J. Modo
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40. Noro Rio
| 19. Rovere K. Toronto Sceptres
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11. Shiga Ak. Lulea
| 8. Caumo A.
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| Line 2 |
|---|
2. Koike S. (C) Japan
| 77. Fortino L. (A)
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8. Hosoyamada A. (A)
| 13. Lobis L.
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41. Noro R.
| 82. Tutino K. (A)
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18. Maeda S.
| 17. Fantin M.
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13. Wajima Y.
| 10. Abatangelo A.
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| Line 3 |
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7. Seki K. HV 71
| 2. Varano A.
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4. Hitosato A. (A) Linkoping
| 27. Guerriero K.
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14. Toko H. Linkoping
| 3. Heidenberger M. Hameenlinna
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19. Ito M.
| 15. Niccolai G.
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24. Miura M. AIK
| 12. Roccella R.
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| Line 4 |
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5. Yamashita S.
| 55. Pierri J. SDE HF
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9. Akimoto N.
| 21. Mazzocchi M.
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17. Tada A.
| 4. Saletta C.
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91. Odaira U.
| 22. Kaneppele S.
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27. Koyama R.
| |
| Substitutes |
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31. Kawaguchi R. (G)
| 14. Bonafini E.
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| 25. Fedel M. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Iizuka Y.
| . Bouchard E.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 12:34, 0 - 1, Fantin M. (G), Lobis L. (A), Tutino K. (A2)
- 18:34, Sato K. (2 min),
- 18:51, 0 - 2, Fantin M. (G), Mattivi N. (A), Fortino L. (A2)
- 19:26, Stocker F. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 02:48, 1 - 2, Ukita R. (G), Noro Rio (A),
- 17:33, Saletta C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:37, 1 - 3, Rovere K. (G),
- 03:03, Caumo A. (2 min),
- 08:12, Ito M. (2 min),
- 11:01, 2 - 3, Shiga Ak. (G), Sato K. (A), Shiga Ao. (A2)
Preview
Italy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Japan could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Japan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;