What is the expert prediction for France W vs Japan W?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for France W vs Japan W. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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France W vs Japan W Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, February 06, 2026)

Match Info

Olympic Games Women

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Milano Rho Ice Hockey Arena (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Eurosport 2, France 4
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 8


	France W		Japan W

	1	X	2
	9.5	6.65	1.24
	6.23	5.29	1.28
	9.62	5.82	1.26	Watch
	8	5.75	1.2
	8.95	6.2	1.26
	10	8	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.72 ↑ (5.72)	6.29 ↑ (5.04)	1.24 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France W
10.6%

Draw
14.7%

Japan W
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

18.4%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that France W's form might have worsened.

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan W's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5, 3rd Period - Japan (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Philbert A. (G) Bolzano	20. Masuhara M. (G)
10. Leclerc S.	6. Sato K.
11. Villiot L.	3. Shiga Ao. Modo
16. Rozier C. (A)	15. Ukita R.
12. Duvin E. (A)	40. Noro Rio
6. Huot-Marchand M.	11. Shiga Ak. Lulea
Line 2
7. Quarto L.	2. Koike S. (C) Japan
91. Zilliox E.	8. Hosoyamada A. (A)
17. Aurard C. Boston Fleet	41. Noro R.
8. Barbirati J.	18. Maeda S.
22. le Scodan M.	13. Wajima Y.
Line 3
13. Pelissou M.	7. Seki K. HV 71
5. De Serres G. Montreal Force	4. Hitosato A. (A) Linkoping
85. Boudin C.	14. Toko H. Linkoping
19. Baudrit L. (C) Leksand	19. Ito M.
44. Peyne-Dingival A.	24. Miura M. AIK
Line 4
29. Berger L.	5. Yamashita S.
24. Nonnenmacher E.	9. Akimoto N.
21. Mesplede J.	17. Tada A.
55. Galbrun S. IFK Helsinki	91. Odaira U.
	27. Koyama R.
Substitutes
31. Pianel V. (G)	31. Kawaguchi R. (G)
18. Simon A.
Coaches
. Tarle G.	. Iizuka Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
18:34, 0 - 1, Ukita R. (G), Shiga Ak. (A), Sato K. (A2)
19:42, 1 - 1, Baudrit L. (G), le Scodan M. (A), Peyne-Dingival A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:38, Zilliox E. (2 min),
16:30, 1 - 2, Ito M. (G), Miura M. (A), Koyama R. (A2)
17:50, 1 - 3, Maeda S. (G), Noro R. (A),
18:47, Seki K. (2 min),
19:48, 2 - 3, De Serres G. (G), Duvin E. (A), Aurard C. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 1.

Japan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Japan is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, France won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:26. (average 1:3.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France W hockey
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey Women
05.02.26	Italy W - France W	4:1 ✺
Friendly International Hockey Women
13.12.25	Japan W - France W	3:2 OT ✺
12.12.25	France W - Hungary W	3:2 penalties ✺
07.11.25	Hungary W - France W	4:1 ✺
06.11.25	France W - Slovakia W	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Japan W hockey
Friendly International Hockey Women
13.12.25	Japan W - France W	3:2 OT ✺
12.12.25	Slovakia W - Japan W	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Italy W - Japan W	2:3 ✺
IIHF World Championship Women
17.04.25	Canada W - Japan W	9:1 ✺
15.04.25	Germany W - Japan W	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Hockey Women
13.12.25	Japan W - France W	3:2 OT
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey Women
06.02.25	Japan W - France W	7:1
Friendly International Hockey Women
14.12.23	Japan W - France W	1:2
15.12.22	Japan W - France W	4:1
IIHF World Championship Women
04.04.19	France W - Japan W	0:3
IIHF World Championship IA Women
21.04.17	Japan W - France W	4:0
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey Women
11.02.17	Japan W - France W	4:1

France W - Japan W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide