Match Info
Alps Hockey League - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 5 March 2026, ThursdayLocation: Sportpark Kitzbühel (Kitzbühel)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Italy | Valcome TV |
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Kitzbühel |
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Gherdëina |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.15 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
3.99 |
2.56 |
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2.17 |
4.28 |
2.54 |
Watch |
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2.1 |
4 |
2.5 |
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2.17 |
3.98 |
2.59 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.09) |
4.03 ↓
(4.16) |
2.54 ↓
(2.73) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kitzbühel
42% | Draw
22.4% | Gherdëina
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kitzbühel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gherdëina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Kitzbühel - Gherdëina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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33.  McCollum T. (G)
| 53.  Endre C. (G)
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91.  Wetzl N.
| 4.  Senoner J.
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14.  Podlipnik M.
| 43. Guimond S.
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20. Krainz C.
| 23. Deluca S.
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78. Maxa A.
| 44. Schiavone D.
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11. Hochfilzer H.
| 74. Biondi L.
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| Line 2 |
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8. Matzka M.
| 34. Brighenti T.
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4. Mitrovic M.
| 29. Buono C.
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3.  Sedlak Z.
| 15. Dostalek V.
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24. Crnkic M.
| 28. Moncada L.
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70. Lippitsch J.
| 22. Pitschieler S.
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| Line 3 |
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94. Bruckner P.
| 14.  Vozovik D.
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41. Pfeffer J.
| 68. Soracreppa S.
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37. Engelhart J.
| 17. Luisetti M.
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26. Bretschneider N.
| 93. Castlunger M.
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15. Frowis J.
| 89. Kasslatter H.
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| Line 4 |
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10. Mader M.
| 5. Linder B.
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12. Hanl M.
| 19. Moroder S.
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22. Waschnig L.
| 33. Esposito N.
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88. Aigner R.
| 7. Delucca T.
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| Substitutes |
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30. Gratzer M. (G)
| 71. Rindone M. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 09:40, 1 - 0, Pfeffer J. (G), Bretschneider N. (A),
- 09:59, 2 - 0, Sedlak Z. (G), Podlipnik M. (A), Crnkic M. (A2)
- 15:16, 2 - 1, Guimond S. (G), Schiavone D. (A), Pitschieler S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 01:39, 2 - 2, Buono C. (G), Pitschieler S. (A), Castlunger M. (A2)
- 07:07, 2 - 3, Vozovik D. (G), Pitschieler S. (A), Soracreppa S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:30, 3 - 3, Frowis J. (G), Crnkic M. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 04:01, 3 - 4, Deluca S. (G), Vozovik D. (A),
Preview
Gherdeina leads series 1-0. Second leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitzbühel won 4.Kitzbühel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Gherdëina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Gherdëina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Gherdëina has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kitzbühel won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 74:61. (average 3.7:3.1).Including home matches between the teams, Kitzbühel won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 3.9:2.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Kitzbuhel | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32:24 | 13 |
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| 9 | Gherdeina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20:21 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Kitzbühel - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.09%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Alps Hockey League | | | 03.03.26 | Gherdëina - Kitzbühel | 7:2 | | 30.12.25 | Kitzbühel - Gherdëina | 6:5 OT | | 08.11.25 | Gherdëina - Kitzbühel | 2:3 | | 20.09.25 | Kitzbühel - Gherdëina | 6:2 | | 16.01.25 | Gherdëina - Kitzbühel | 5:7 | | 21.11.24 | Gherdëina - Kitzbühel | 1:4 | | 21.09.24 | Kitzbühel - Gherdëina | 5:1 |
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