Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Losers stage

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico del Ghiaccio (Cortina d'Ampezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Cortina		Kitzbühel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.14	3.8	2.6	Watch
	2.13	3.98	2.61
	2.02	4.22	2.81	Watch
	2.15	3.95	2.63
	1.85	4.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.89)	4.03 ↓ (4.23)	2.75 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortina
44.3%

Draw
22.6%

Kitzbühel
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

21.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

28.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Kitzbühel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortina than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cortina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kitzbühel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cortina - Kitzbühel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
46. Karjalainen A. (G)	33. McCollum T. (G)
18. Constantini L.	91. Wetzl N.
11. Stoffling J.	14. Podlipnik M.
23. Pompanin F.	11. Hochfilzer H.
13. Remolato N.	78. Maxa A.
19. Kalajanniska O.	15. Frowis J.
Line 2
12. Panciera G.	8. Matzka M.
40. Fortunato B.	4. Mitrovic M.
77. Pietroniro M.	3. Sedlak Z.
47. Pietroniro C.	24. Crnkic M.
79. Talamini A.	70. Lippitsch J.
Line 3
15. Tolomelli R.	10. Mader M.
98. Pastorello G.	41. Pfeffer J.
28. Alvera T.	37. Engelhart J.
5. Sanna M.	26. Bretschneider N.
24. Barnabo L.	86. Loshing Y.
Line 4
36. De Luca A.	94. Bruckner P.
8. de Zanna R.	12. Hanl M.
65. Toffoli G.	20. Krainz C.
97. Lacedelli G.	22. Waschnig L.
Substitutes
43. Pompanin A. (G)	30. Gratzer M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:18, 1 - 0, Stoffling J. (G), Sanna M. (A), Alvera T. (A2)
12:16, 1 - 1, Loshing Y. (G), Podlipnik M. (A), Crnkic M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:29, 2 - 1, Tolomelli R. (G), Barnabo L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortina won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cortina won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 67:63. (average 3.4:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortina won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:27. (average 4.1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
6	Kitzbuhel	6	3	0	0	1	2	24:22	10
11	Cortina	5	0	1	0	1	3	10:17	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cortina - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.72%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SG Cortina
Alps Hockey League
21.02.26	Kitzbühel - Cortina	6:3 ✺
19.02.26	Unterland Cavaliers - Cortina	4:2 ✺
17.02.26	Cortina - Merano Junior	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	Merano Junior - Cortina	4:6 ✺
05.02.26	Cortina - Unterland Cavaliers	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW
- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
21.02.26	Kitzbühel - Cortina	6:3 ✺
19.02.26	Merano Junior - Kitzbühel	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	2:1 OT ✺
07.02.26	Unterland Cavaliers - Kitzbühel	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Kitzbühel - Merano Junior	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
21.02.26	Kitzbühel - Cortina	6:3
17.01.26	Kitzbühel - Cortina	5:1
18.10.25	Kitzbühel - Cortina	3:2
27.09.25	Cortina - Kitzbühel	3:2 penalties
25.02.25	Cortina - Kitzbühel	3:6
13.02.25	Kitzbühel - Cortina	6:4
26.01.25	Cortina - Kitzbühel	0:8

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