The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mariestad BoIS 50.5%
Draw 21.4%
Mjölby 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
21%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
22.3%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariestad BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Mjölby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariestad BoIS than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjölby than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Mariestad BoIS - Mjölby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
04:07, 1 - 0, Weino W. (G), Hakansson M. (A), Haugen C. (A2)
04:57, 1 - 1, Rosen A. (G), Sikl A. (A), Persson S. (A2)
06:48, 2 - 1, Lindewall J. (G), Amundsen F. (A), Wennlund M. (A2)
12:08, 3 - 1, Hakansson M. (G), Weino W. (A),
19:36, 3 - 2, Lagerqvist W. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:40, 4 - 2, Lindewall J. (G), Selindh L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariestad won 4.
Mariestad arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Mjölby has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Mjölby may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Mjölby has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mariestad holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mariestad has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 36:16 (averaging 6:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mariestad against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 5.3:3 per game).