Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Hägglunds Arena (Örnsköldsvik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Modo		Södertälje

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.5	3.5
	1.90	4.33	3.10
	2.09	4.09	2.97
	2	3.96	2.84
	1.99	4.44	2.92	Watch
	1.96	3.85	2.75
	2.02	4	2.91	Watch
	1.93	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.01)	4.15 ↑ (3.92)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modo
47%

Draw
22.2%

Södertälje
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

23.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Södertälje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Modo - Södertälje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Hellsten J. (G)	73. Harenstam L. (G)
51. Berglund V.	82. Laavainen R.
28. Rosen E.	27. Norbe D. (A)
17. Hermansson E.	8. Fizer T.
70. Bourke T.	21. Stevens N. (C)
10. Jutting J.	18. Souch C.
Line 2
71. Yoon B.	74. Carell F.
23. Wahlberg O.	29. Hakansson W.
24. Sundstrom M.	91. Vanderbeck A.
19. Karlsson E.	19. Muzito-Bagenda D.
26. Larsson E. (C)	95. Vayrynen T.
Line 3
5. Berg A. (A)	44. Arell N. (A)
34. Hallin H.	6. Soderberg L.
27. Lundmark A.	23. Polin E.
20. Caderoth A.	16. Ikonen J.
25. Mattsson C.	88. Holst-Persson F.
Line 4
55. Kyrkjeeide Oversveen P.	5. Lundgren J.
12. Pettersson O. (A)	71. Olsson G.
15. Bjerselius J.	9. Harlestam H. (A)
36. Ohlsson S. (A)	28. Hesselvall A.
Substitutes
38. Falkenhall W.	35. Munther T. (G)
35. Werner A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:58, 0 - 1, Muzito-Bagenda D. (G), Vayrynen T. (A), Vanderbeck A. (A2)
12:18, 1 - 1, Hermansson E. (G), Bourke T. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:55, 1 - 2, Vanderbeck A. (G), Soderberg L. (A),
09:01, 1 - 3, Ikonen J. (G), Vayrynen T. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:42, 1 - 4, Polin E. (G), Vanderbeck A. (A),

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 8th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modo won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Modo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Modo in today's match, at odds of 2.01.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Modo has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 67:66 (averaging 3.4:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Modo against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 36:31 goals (averaging 3.6:3.1 per game).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

Sodertalje: 14.89% Modo: 12.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Modo	8	3	2	1	2	22:22	14
6	Sodertalje	8	4	0	1	3	27:21	13

Last Results with these Odds

Södertälje - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.34%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modo Hockey
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
02.10.26	Visby Roma - Modo	0:4 ✺
30.09.26	Vimmerby - Modo	3:2 OT ✺
28.09.26	Nybro Vikings - Modo	2:3 ✺
25.09.26	Modo - Leksand	1:6 ✺
23.09.26	Modo - Mora	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW
- Södertälje SK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
02.10.26	Södertälje - Östersund	5:3 ✺
30.09.26	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	4:0 ✺
26.09.26	Södertälje - Oskarshamn	3:4 penalties ✺
25.09.26	Södertälje - AIK	4:5 ✺
23.09.26	Västerås - Södertälje	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
23.01.26	Modo - Södertälje	1:4
19.12.25	Södertälje - Modo	1:3
08.11.25	Södertälje - Modo	3:1
10.10.25	Modo - Södertälje	3:1
08.03.23	Modo - Södertälje	3:2
17.02.23	Södertälje - Modo	4:3 penalties
11.01.23	Södertälje - Modo	4:1

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