Match Info

PWHL Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Place Bell (Laval, QC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1


	Montreal Victoire		Ottawa Charge

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.45	2.75
	2.18	3.76	2.88
	2.14	3.73	2.84	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.8
	2.17	3.44	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	3.58 ↑ (3.57)	2.83 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montreal Victoire
42.3%

Draw
25.5%

Ottawa Charge
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.5%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montreal Victoire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ottawa Charge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Victoire than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montreal Victoire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Charge than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Montreal Victoire - Ottawa Charge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Desbiens A. (G)	33. Philips G. (G)
91. Flaherty M.	5. Guilday R.
9. Tabin K.	88. Savolainen R.
7. Stacey L.	37. Leslie R.
29. Poulin M.	19. Jenner B.
11. Roque A.	23. Wozniewicz S.
Line 2
44. Boulier A.	11. Hobson B.
61. Gosling N.	3. Larocque J.
21. Murphy M.	29. Hemp P.
16. Scamurra H.	17. Hughes G.
17. Greig D.	26. Clark E.
Line 3
23. Ambrose E.	8. Reilly K.
22. Digirolamo J.	25. Greco E.
19. Willoughby K.	86. Cava M.
27. Darkangelo S.	16. Mrazova K.
25. Ljungblom L.	71. Kadirova F.
Line 4
93. Mattivi N.	6. Markowski S.
96. Mlynkova N.	22. House T.
13. Labelle A.	10. Vasko A.
28. Dubois C.	27. McQuigge B.
Substitutes
30. Abstreiter S. (G)	1. Ahola S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:38, 0 - 1, Wozniewicz S. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:32, 1 - 1, Tabin K. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
14:12, 2 - 1, Flaherty M. (G), Poulin M. (A), Roque A. (A2)

Preview

Montreal Victoire leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4.

Montreal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ottawa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 48:36. (average 2.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Charge - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montreal Victoire
PWHL Women
14.05.26	Montreal Victoire - Ottawa Charge	3:2 OT ✺
12.05.26	Montreal Victoire - Minnesota Frost	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Minnesota Frost - Montreal Victoire	3:1 ✺
07.05.26	Minnesota Frost - Montreal Victoire	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Montreal Victoire - Minnesota Frost	1:0 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWW
- Ottawa Charge
PWHL Women
14.05.26	Montreal Victoire - Ottawa Charge	3:2 OT ✺
10.05.26	Ottawa Charge - Boston Fleet	4:3 OT ✺
08.05.26	Ottawa Charge - Boston Fleet	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	1:3 ✺
30.04.26	Boston Fleet - Ottawa Charge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

PWHL Women
14.05.26	Montreal Victoire - Ottawa Charge	3:2 OT
03.04.26	Ottawa Charge - Montreal Victoire	0:3
22.03.26	Ottawa Charge - Montreal Victoire	2:1 OT
24.01.26	Montreal Victoire - Ottawa Charge	3:1
13.01.26	Montreal Victoire - Ottawa Charge	2:1
16.05.25	Ottawa Charge - Montreal Victoire	2:1
13.05.25	Ottawa Charge - Montreal Victoire	1:0

Montreal Victoire - Ottawa Charge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide