Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.94	4.36
	1.58	3.9	4.3
	1.61	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.02)	4.01 ↓ (4.3)	4.29 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
56.5%

Draw
22.5%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

21.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

22%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftyanik Almetyevsk's performance.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Magnitka Magnitogorsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftyanik Almetyevsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magnitka Magnitogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
13:21, 1 - 0, Kulikov P. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Zhulin T. (A2)
14:03, 1 - 1, Galenyuk M. (G), Kotkov V. (A), Poltavchuk N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Abdullin L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Galeyev I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kotkov V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Zamaltdinov R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Galenyuk M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Khamidullin D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Golnik R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Govorkov M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Demchenko V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Kulikov P. (Penalty Shot),
6, Galeyev I. (Penalty Shot),
6, Fateyev Y. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Recent form of Neftyanik Almetyevsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Magnitka is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Magnitka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of home games.

Recently, Magnitka has had a series of away games.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.95%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:4 ✺
15.08.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Bars Kazan	3:2 ✺
14.08.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
13.08.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - CSK VVS Samara	4:5 penalties ✺
06.08.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ak Bars Kazan	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	Bars Kazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Chelmet - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:1 ✺
14.08.26	Chelmet - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:0 ✺
07.08.26	Yunost Minsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	N/A ✺
06.08.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Kaluga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLL?L

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:4 penalties
01.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:4
15.12.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1
05.12.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:1

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