Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: VHL 🌤️ ...


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.4	2.53
	2.16	3.3	2.45
	2.11	3.9	2.97	Watch
	2.08	3.7	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.87)	3.58 ↓ (4.05)	2.69 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
41.7%

Draw
25%

SKA-VMF
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

23.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftyanik Almetyevsk's form might have worsened.

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA-VMF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA-VMF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA VMF Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Nosov G. (G)	87. Popov D. (G)
38. Garaishin I.	57. Sevostyanov A.
90. Sumin A. (A)	8. Barantsev D. (A)
13. Zamaltdinov R.	38. Gurzanov Y.
17. Kulikov P. (C)	15. Busarov G. (C)
77. Marushev M.	44. Dyadenkin D.
Line 2
71. Samigullin R.	14. Shekhovtsov Y.
85. Fazylzyanov K.	85. Zhuravlev Y.
15. Yakupov R.	39. Kuzminov Y.
62. Khokhryakov P.	32. Barabanov V.
99. Zhulin T.	97. Nugmanov A.
Line 3
75. Ionov S.	5. Yarullin A.
8. Mulyukov I.	6. Lukichyov A.
74. Govorkov M.	88. Kapchuk S.
98. Govorkov R.	17. Kabush M.
87. Krutov K.	93. Filippov A.
Line 4
36. Myasishchev I. (A)	81. Varlakov A.
61. Abdukadyrov S.	18. Slivchenko M.
11. Mustafin R.	95. Shevchenko D. (A)
79. Troyanov I.	22. Sorokin Y.
Substitutes
31. Blashkov I. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
18. Rakhimullin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:23, 1 - 0, Yakupov R. (G), Khokhryakov P. (A), Sumin A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
19:09, 1 - 1, Shekhovtsov Y. (G), Kabush M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 3.

In recent outings, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

SKA-VMF shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:56 (averaging 2.4:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neftyanik Almetyevsk against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 29:24 goals (averaging 3.2:2.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Almetyevsk	17	7	6	0	4	49:33	26
10	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	15	8	2	1	4	41:23	21

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.71%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
12.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:5 ✺
08.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Khimik	3:2 ✺
04.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
12.10.26	CSK VVS Samara - SKA-VMF	0:5 ✺
05.10.26	SKA-VMF - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
02.10.26	Khimik - SKA-VMF	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.01.26	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2
11.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	5:1
03.03.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	4:3 OT
19.09.24	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	5:4
09.12.23	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:0
05.11.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	1:5
05.01.23	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 OT

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