Match Info
AIHLDate: 4 July 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Newcastle North Stars |
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Melbourne Mustangs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.59 |
5.75 |
3.30 |
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 |
1.67 |
5.40 |
3.35 |
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 |
1.65 |
5.06 |
3.34 |
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 |
1.61 |
5.66 |
3.69 |
 Watch |
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1.62 |
5.00 |
3.30 |
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 |
1.58 |
5.30 |
3.63 |
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 |
1.63 |
4.70 |
3.80 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.58) |
5.27 ↑
(5.25) |
3.49 ↓
(3.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle North Stars
56.4% | Draw
17.4% | Melbourne Mustangs
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle North Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Melbourne Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Newcastle North Stars - Melbourne Mustangs Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:4 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 07:46, 1 - 0, Darge W. (G), Haarala S. (A), Drolet F. (A2)
- 08:56, 1 - 1, Caron P. (G), Timmins S. (A), Crane B. (A2)
- 16:45, 2 - 1, Baazzi A. (G), Haarala S. (A), Skachkov Y. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 4)
- 12:17, 2 - 2, Hughes J. (G), Crane B. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
- 12:45, 2 - 3, Astafiev A. (G), Lane J. (A), Timmins S. (A2)
- 15:36, 2 - 4, Sucher L. (G), Crane B. (A), Ponomarev N. (A2)
- 18:23, 3 - 4, Skachkov Y. (G), Haarala S. (A), Nadin P. (A2)
- 19:41, 3 - 5, Timmins S. (G), Sasaki Y. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 05:47, 4 - 5, Haarala S. (G), Skachkov Y. (A),
- 10:07, 5 - 5, Skachkov Y. (G),
- 15:12, 5 - 6, Crane B. (G), Hughes J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, Newcastle is a strong favorite.We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 97:77. (average 4.9:3.9).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 51:37. (average 5.1:3.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
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