Match Info
AIHL - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 29 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Ice House (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Newcastle North Stars |
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Sydney Ice Dogs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.75 |
5.00 |
2.95 |
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 |
1.62 |
4.75 |
3.45 |
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 |
1.57 |
5.22 |
3.58 |
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 |
1.55 |
5.68 |
4 |
 Watch |
 |
1.55 |
5.05 |
3.45 |
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 |
1.58 |
5.1 |
3.73 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.7) |
5.13 ↓
(6.28) |
3.53 ↑
(3.04) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle North Stars
56.6% | Draw
17.7% | Sydney Ice Dogs
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle North Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Sydney Ice Dogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle North Stars that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Ice Dogs than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney Ice Dogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Newcastle North Stars - Sydney Ice Dogs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 06:47, 0 - 1, Vertes N. (G), Chen D. (A), Lachowicz R. (A2)
- 2nd Period (7 - 0)
- 02:23, 1 - 1, Drolet F. (G), Haarala S. (A), Darge W. (A2)
- 04:06, 2 - 1, Darge W. (G), Drolet F. (A),
- 04:58, 3 - 1, Darge W. (G),
- 17:12, 4 - 1, Klugerman R. (G), Drolet F. (A), Hawes E. (A2)
- 18:30, 5 - 1, Ryan L. (G), Klugerman R. (A), Baazzi A. (A2)
- 18:35, 6 - 1, Skachkov Y. (G),
- 18:53, 7 - 1, Drolet F. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Haarala S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (3 - 0)
- 03:07, 8 - 1, Drolet F. (G), Baazzi A. (A), West M. (A2)
- 06:11, 9 - 1, Drolet F. (G), Darge W. (A),
- 18:23, 10 - 1, West M. (G), Ellen H. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.Now, both teams are in good form.Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Sydney Ice Dogs has had a series of away games. Newcastle could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 107:76. (average 5.4:3.8).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 60:43. (average 5.5:3.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 09.08.26 | Newcastle North Stars - Sydney Ice Dogs | 4:3 | | 08.08.26 | Sydney Ice Dogs - Newcastle North Stars | 5:4 | | 21.06.26 | Sydney Ice Dogs - Newcastle North Stars | 3:6 | | 14.06.26 | Newcastle North Stars - Sydney Ice Dogs | 3:6 | | 11.05.24 | Sydney Ice Dogs - Newcastle North Stars | 3:4 | | 28.04.24 | Newcastle North Stars - Sydney Ice Dogs | 5:6 penalties | | 14.04.24 | Newcastle North Stars - Sydney Ice Dogs | 7:3 |
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