Match Info
AIHLDate: 16 August 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Newcastle North Stars |
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Perth Thunder |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.33 |
6.50 |
5.00 |
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 |
1.41 |
6.25 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.38 |
5.92 |
4.65 |
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 |
1.41 |
6.35 |
4.91 |
 Watch |
 |
1.38 |
5.75 |
4.50 |
|
 |
1.32 |
6.25 |
5.54 |
Watch |
 |
1.35 |
6.60 |
5.20 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.32) |
6.23 ↓
(7.39) |
4.94 ↓
(5.36) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newcastle North Stars
66.8% | Draw
14.7% | Perth Thunder
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle North Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Perth Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Thunder than the current prediction. (-0.5%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 08:35, 1 - 0, Haarala S. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Funes B. (A2)
- 13:41, 2 - 0, Drolet F. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Haarala S. (A2)
- 18:43, 2 - 1, Lyashenko M. (G), Auvinen H. (A), Breault B. (A2)
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 12:54, 3 - 1, Baazzi A. (G), Klugerman R. (A), Drolet F. (A2)
- 14:03, 4 - 1, Skachkov Y. (G), Haarala S. (A), Baazzi A. (A2)
- 15:57, 5 - 1, Klugerman R. (G), Drolet F. (A), Ryan L. (A2)
- 17:43, 6 - 1, Ryan L. (G), Watanabe A. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 12:20, 6 - 2, Hrehorcak P. (G), Plouffe F. (A), Breault B. (A2)
- 18:41, 6 - 3, Webster K. (G), Tenosalmi V. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4.Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Perth has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Newcastle is the undeniable favorite.We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 73:70. (average 3.7:3.5).Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 3.5:2.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 02.08.26 | Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder | 4:3 | | 25.07.26 | Perth Thunder - Newcastle North Stars | 3:8 | | 19.07.25 | Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder | 4:0 | | 22.06.25 | Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder | 3:2 OT | | 06.04.25 | Perth Thunder - Newcastle North Stars | 6:1 | | 05.04.25 | Perth Thunder - Newcastle North Stars | 7:4 | | 09.06.24 | Newcastle North Stars - Perth Thunder | 1:2 OT |
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