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Current Win Probability
Norilsk 41.7%
Draw 23.9%
Sokol Krasnoyarsk 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
28.5%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
30.3%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norilsk's performance.
Sokol Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norilsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Norilsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sokol Krasnoyarsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
98. Gluschenko R. (G)
88. Todykov A. (G)
4. Shalapov Y. (A)
59. Volosenkov N. (A)
11. Steklov K.
2. Travin O.
89. Yemets I.
25. Kazakov K.
36. Zlodeyev D.
36. Mastryukov A. (C)
8. Avramenko I.
98. Fursa A.
Line 2
39. Bolshakov M.
19. Perfilyev A.
74. Perelyayev S.
47. Martynov Y.
71. Rasseikin M.
13. Baranov D.
10. Lipanov A.
71. Kolmykov M.
56. Mokin N. (C)
9. Rybin I.
Line 3
43. Sinitsky I.
43. Gavrilenko I.
5. Krasnov A.
15. Panov M.
69. Filin F.
26. Urulin S.
87. Gorbunov Y.
16. Zaitsev A.
23. Klimovich Y.
8. Sokolov D.
Line 4
22. Rodionov A.
76. Lazarev E.
86. Kirileichenko M.
54. Shevchenko M.
28. Shevchenko A. (A)
95. Korchagin O.
14. Sinyatkin S.
27. Skvortsov I. (A)
97. Panin I.
Substitutes
77. Guskov Y. (G)
30. Zhigalov I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
07:46, 1 - 0, Yemets I. (G), Rodionov A. (A), Shalapov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:25, 2 - 0, Gorbunov Y. (G), Filin F. (A), Steklov K. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:09, 3 - 0, Kirileichenko M. (G), Sinyatkin S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Sokol Krasnoyarsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sokol Krasnoyarsk has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Norilsk will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 3.4:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 4:2.7).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
HC Norilsk
15
8
1
2
4
35:33
20
30
Krasnoyarsk
13
2
1
0
10
21:36
6
Last Results with these Odds
Sokol Krasnoyarsk - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Gluschenko R. (G) 
Fursa A. 
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