Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Norilsk		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.92	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)	3.92 ↑ (3.88)	2.86 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
44.9%

Draw
23.2%

Kaluga
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

23.5%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Norilsk - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Zlodeyev D. (G),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01', 2 - 0, Gorbunov Y. (G), Shalagin M. (A),
11', 3 - 0, Shalagin M. (G),
16', 3 - 1, (G),
18', 4 - 1, Shevchenko A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08', 4 - 2, (G),

Preview

Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
16.03.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Dynamo-Altay - Norilsk	5:3 ✺
08.03.26	Tambov - Norilsk	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Rostov - Norilsk	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Buran Voronezh - Norilsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL
- MHK Kaluga
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
06.08.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Kaluga	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Lida - Kaluga	3:5 ✺
27.07.26	Neman Grodno - Kaluga	2:1 penalties ✺
RHL
19.04.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	4:1 ✺
16.04.26	Granit Chekhov - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWL

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