Match Info

VHL

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Olimp-Arena (Kirovo-Chepetsk)


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.80	1.83
	3.65	3.65	1.78
	3.91	4.26	1.73	Watch
	3.65	4.00	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.08)	3.93 ↓ (3.96)	1.78 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
24.6%

Draw
23.5%

SKA-VMF
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

23.7%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

24.8%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk's form might have worsened.

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA-VMF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - SKA VMF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
49. Braginsky D. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
91. Lyakhov A.	8. Barantsev D. (A)
18. Tolpegin D.	81. Varlakov A.
97. Sorokin D.	72. Kazakov M.
81. Lapin S. (A)	15. Busarov G. (C)
25. Pikov M.	10. Popov D.
Line 2
98. Abdeyev I.	14. Shekhovtsov Y.
44. Kovalev I.	6. Lukichyov A.
10. Nazarevich A.	39. Kuzminov Y.
7. Kamenev V. (A)	17. Kabush M.
93. Korenev I.	22. Sorokin Y.
Line 3
36. Aksyonov A.	5. Yarullin A.
77. Putintsev V.	54. Gorokhov S.
92. Korinevsky M.	47. Nedopyokin N.
14. Drobin A.	32. Barabanov V.
79. Arzhanov D.	91. Lutfullin I.
Line 4
34. Ponomaryov T.	88. Kapchuk S.
11. Makhanovsky P. (C)	80. Gryaznov G.
9. Ustimkin M.	38. Gurzanov Y.
	95. Shevchenko D. (A)
	18. Slivchenko M.
Substitutes
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)	87. Popov D. (G)
	2. Uvaletov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
09:17, 0 - 1, Lutfullin I. (G), Kabush M. (A), Shevchenko D. (A2)
16:17, 0 - 2, Busarov G. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Popov D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:22, 1 - 2, Korenev I. (G), Lapin S. (A), Kamenev V. (A2)
12:27, 2 - 2, Drobin A. (G), Arzhanov D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:06, 2 - 3, Popov D. (G), Kazakov M. (A), Busarov G. (A2)

Preview

Kirovo-Chepetsk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SKA-VMF has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kirovo-Chepetsk has had a series of away games.

SKA-VMF might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kirovo-Chepetsk will win today's game, with odds of 3.33.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 1.3:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	12	6	2	0	4	32:21	16
26	Olympia	13	3	1	1	8	33:41	9

Last Results with these Odds

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.92%, but this team recently wins 92% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.26	Izhstal - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Molot Perm - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 AET ✺
21.08.26	Molot Perm - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3 OT ✺
13.08.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Molot Perm	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WLWW?
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - SKA-VMF	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - SKA-VMF	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	SKA-VMF - Barys Astana	2:1 penalties ✺
27.08.26	SKA-VMF - Admiral Vladivostok	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	SKA-VMF - Khimik	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.02.26	SKA-VMF - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1
19.10.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - SKA-VMF	1:4
12.03.25	SKA-VMF - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	6:1
11.09.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - SKA-VMF	2:4

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