Match Info

NMHL

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Progress Glazov		Samara

	1	X	2
	2.12	4.05	2.64
	2.05	4.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.09)	4.15 (4.15)	2.57 (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progress Glazov
43.2%

Draw
21.7%

Samara
35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

22.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Progress Glazov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Samara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progress Glazov than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Progress Glazov - Samara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:11, 0 - 1, Fokeichev G. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
16:22, 1 - 1, Aristov L. (G), Kudrin I. (A), Bykov V. (A2)
17:39, 2 - 1, Otinov Y. (G), Nigmatullin R. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:22, 3 - 1, Otinov Y. (G), Savin V. (A),
18:14, 4 - 1, Afanasyev D. (G), Kudrin I. (A), Aristov L. (A2)

Preview

In recent matches, Progress Glazov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Samara has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Samara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Progress Glazov will win today's game, with odds of 2.09.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Progress Glazov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Progress Glazov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Progress Glazov
RHL
10.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Progress Glazov - Kristall Saratov	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Progress Glazov - Kristall Saratov	2:1 penalties ✺
31.01.26	MHK Ryazan - Progress Glazov	4:3 penalties ✺
30.01.26	MHK Ryazan - Progress Glazov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL
- HK Samara
RHL
10.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Samara	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Samara	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Samara - Proton Novovoronezh	2:4 ✺
30.01.26	Samara - Proton Novovoronezh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
10.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:2
21.11.25	Samara - Progress Glazov	3:0
20.11.25	Samara - Progress Glazov	4:5 penalties

Progress Glazov - Samara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide