Match Info

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Red Bull Salzburg		Black Wings Linz

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.75	3.30
	1.77	4.36	3.54
	1.72	4.7	3.54
	1.71	4.40	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	4.55 ↑ (4.41)	3.5 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
53.3%

Draw
20.3%

Black Wings Linz
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

21%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

21.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Black Wings Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Red Bull Salzburg - Black Wings Linz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Bull Salzburg won 4.

Red Bull Salzburg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Black Wings is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Black Wings could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Red Bull Salzburg is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:36 (averaging 3.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Red Bull Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 42:14 goals (averaging 3.8:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Salzburg: 19.11% Black Wings Linz: 2.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Black Wings Linz	10	6	1	1	2	39:28	21
9	Salzburg	10	4	0	1	5	33:36	13

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.83%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Black Wings Linz - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.19%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
11.10.26	EC KAC - Red Bull Salzburg	5:3 ✺
09.10.26	Fehérvár AV 19 - Red Bull Salzburg	1:6 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
07.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Eisbären Berlin	3:4 ✺
Austrian Ice Hockey League
04.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Milano	5:2 ✺
02.10.26	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Black Wings Linz
Austrian Ice Hockey League
11.10.26	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Black Wings Linz	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	Black Wings Linz - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	5:2 ✺
04.10.26	Black Wings Linz - EC KAC	6:1 ✺
02.10.26	Black Wings Linz - Graz 99ers	3:2 penalties ✺
30.09.26	Ferencvárosi - Black Wings Linz	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Black Wings Linz	5:1
19.12.25	Black Wings Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3
21.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Black Wings Linz	4:0
05.10.25	Black Wings Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 OT
12.01.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Black Wings Linz	3:1
01.01.25	Black Wings Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	2:4
15.12.24	Black Wings Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2

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