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Current Win Probability
EC KAC 45.2%
Draw 22.1%
Red Bull Salzburg 32.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
21.8%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
21.9%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC KAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC KAC's form might have worsened.
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC KAC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
EC KAC - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Vorauer F. (G)
35. Tolvanen A. (G)
82. Nickl T.
62. Kalynuk W.
92. Unterweger C. (A)
22. Robertson D.
94. Drozg J.
3. Schneider P. (C)
9. Mursak J.
70. Nissner B.
74. St. Denis T.
12. Raffl M. (A)
Line 2
28. Goransson M.
95. Horl L.
41. Jensen J. (A)
4. Nienhuis N.
16. Schwinger S.
96. Huber M. (A)
27. Hundertpfund T. (C)
77. Brooks A.
89. Herburger R.
24. Poisson N.
Line 3
64. Preiml M.
6. Lee J.
3. MacKinnon W.
44. Galipeau O.
81. van Ee F.
29. Krainer B.
98. Obersteiner D.
9. Wukovits A.
6. Sablattnig T.
16. Auer L. C.
Line 4
50. Wadel M.
89. Baltram F.
51. Bohs G.
92. Rebernig A.
45. Ofner B.
26. Hochkofler P.
19. Waschnig D.
68. Gesson A.
21. Micelli N.
8. Bohm M.
Substitutes
1. Mitens M. (G)
30. Kickert D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
02:28, 1 - 0, Waschnig D. (G), MacKinnon W. (A), van Ee F. (A2)
02:56, 2 - 0, Goransson M. (G), Jensen J. (A), Schwinger S. (A2)
06:08, 2 - 1, Huber M. (G), Raffl M. (A), Nissner B. (A2)
07:18, 3 - 1, Herburger R. (G), Schwinger S. (A), Unterweger C. (A2)
13:47, 3 - 2, Nienhuis N. (G), Nissner B. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:41, 4 - 2, Sablattnig T. (G), Obersteiner D. (A), van Ee F. (A2)
13:29, 5 - 2, Herburger R. (G), Nickl T. (A), Hundertpfund T. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:31, 5 - 3, Huber M. (G), Poisson N. (A),
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 7th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EC KAC won 2.
EC KAC is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Red Bull Salzburg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
EC KAC is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, EC KAC has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:60 (averaging 2.6:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EC KAC against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 25:30 goals (averaging 2.5:3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Klagenfurt
15
8
1
1
5
57:46
27
6
Salzburg
15
8
0
1
6
47:47
25
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Klagenfurt: 17.56% Salzburg: 13.35%
Last Results with these Odds
EC KAC - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Vorauer F. (G) 
Kalynuk W. 
Drozg J. 
Goransson M. 
Jensen J. (A) 
Lee J. 
Hochkofler P. 
Mitens M. (G) 
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