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Current Win Probability
Red Deer Rebels 55.4%
Draw 19.1%
Lethbridge Hurricanes 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
19%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
20.5%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Deer Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Lethbridge Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Deer Rebels than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Deer Rebels that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lethbridge Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lethbridge Hurricanes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kondro M. (G)
30. Cleaver K. (G)
26. Allen D. (C)
4. Adair C. (A)
11. Andersen P.
17. Anderson K.
6. Chadi N.
29. Berge O. (A)
2. Chichkin A. (A)
19. Chenier O.
15. DeWitt O.
16. Daneault E.
21. Hamilton B. (A)
9. Duell K.
5. Kamas J.
14. Evans J.
9. Kuzma C.
11. Heger K.
17. Lisy M.
22. Kibblewhite H.
18. Lodge K.
12. Lafournaise T.
24. MacSwain L.
27. Lesiuk G.
27. Mikes M.
28. Lima L.
3. Missura J.
15. Longley K. (A)
10. Peterson G.
24. Malinek T.
20. Sopiarz P.
. Paul J.
14. Varga K.
5. Pichette G.
12. Yaremko T.
3. Scott W.
7. Yellowaga N.
21. Skadauskas M.
Substitutes
31. Shore P. (G)
31. Oaten L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:03, 1 - 0, Mikes M. (G), Kuzma C. (A), Varga K. (A2)
08:57, 2 - 0, Lisy M. (G), Kamas J. (A), Mikes M. (A2)
16:18, 2 - 1, Pichette G. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
11:42, 2 - 2, Longley K. (G), Pichette G. (A), Malinek T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:25, 3 - 2, Sopiarz P. (G), Lisy M. (A), Andersen P. (A2)
15:47, 3 - 3, Berge O. (G), Duell K. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:49, 4 - 3, Andersen P. (G), Mikes M. (A), Yellowaga N. (A2)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Deer won 4.
Red Deer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lethbridge's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Lethbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Red Deer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Red Deer will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Red Deer won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:56. (average 2.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Red Deer won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 3.2:2.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Red Deer Rebels - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.04%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Lethbridge Hurricanes - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.