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Current Win Probability
Lethbridge Hurricanes 18.4%
Draw 17.6%
Calgary Hitmen 64.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.2%
19.4%
59.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
21.2%
54.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lethbridge Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Calgary Hitmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lethbridge Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calgary Hitmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cleaver K. (G)
30. Hesse A. (G)
4. Adair C. (A)
15. Anaka G.
17. Anderson K.
7. Aura H. (A)
29. Berge O. (C)
14. Belanger G.
23. Beuker D. (A)
29. Brown B.
20. Byrtus D.
4. Hamilton C.
16. Daneault E.
26. Hildebrandt S.
13. DiDomenicantonio E.
21. Jundt K.
9. Duell K.
11. Katsuro A.
14. Evans J.
25. Kresl C.
11. Heger K. (A)
6. Leander J.
12. Lafournaise T.
27. Maze J.
27. Lesiuk G.
10. McCann K.
8. Maloney N.
8. Molgachyov A.
5. Pichette G.
12. Pisarczyk W.
3. Scott W.
9. Sanderson C. (A)
26. Sichtar O.
2. Simard M.
21. Stuart L.
18. Vanek B. (A)
22. Vanha O.
34. Wilkie C.
Substitutes
31. Oaten L. (G)
31. Tu E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
02:10, 1 - 0, Anderson K. (G), Vanha O. (A), Duell K. (A2)
03:54, 2 - 0, Daneault E. (G), Berge O. (A), Sichtar O. (A2)
14:22, 2 - 1, Sanderson C. (G), Kresl C. (A),
17:00, 2 - 2, Pisarczyk W. (G), Katsuro A. (A), Sanderson C. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
07:23, 3 - 2, Stuart L. (G),
10:13, 3 - 3, Sanderson C. (G), Kresl C. (A), Hamilton C. (A2)
13:49, 4 - 3, Berge O. (G),
16:10, 4 - 4, Molgachyov A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
01:53, 4 - 5, Brown B. (G),
07:47, 4 - 6, Vanek B. (G), Katsuro A. (A), Kresl C. (A2)
18:27, 4 - 7, Sanderson C. (G), Leander J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lethbridge won 1.
Lethbridge is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Calgary shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Calgary could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Calgary carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Calgary in today's match, at odds of 1.63.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lethbridge has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 67:69 (averaging 3.4:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lethbridge against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 32:30 goals (averaging 3.6:3.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Lethbridge Hurricanes - the odds 4.38 are the expected chance of winning is 21.18%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Calgary Hitmen - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.46%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.