The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stadion Litoměřice 29.9%
Draw 22.3%
Vsetín 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
22.7%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
23.5%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stadion Litoměřice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stadion Litoměřice's form might have worsened.
Vsetín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vsetín's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stadion Litoměřice than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stadion Litoměřice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vsetín than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vsetín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stadion Litoměřice - Vsetín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
45. Michajlov M. (G)
95. Svoboda M. (G)
3. Suhrada J.
11. Stritesky M.
15. Zovinec D. (A)
17. Zahradnicek J.
22. Pospisil J.
23. Rob L. (A)
94. Hujer J.
19. Klhufek P.
4. Plos L.
83. Straka P.
Line 2
6. Tuma J.
6. Dujsik T.
5. Smetana O. (C)
26. Slovacek O.
29. Lang K.
55. Smerha T.
27. Kern J. (A)
9. Matejcek S.
16. Chlan R.
22. Jonak V. (C)
Line 3
78. Pavlak D.
24. Durkac J.
28. Tomov N.
63. Hryciow M.
20. Bernovsky J.
91. Jandus T.
88. Jelinek S.
21. Dedek M.
18. Ton P.
90. Novak M.
Line 4
10. Benda V.
44. Marcel P.
77. Kostoval M.
13. Blaha S.
13. Spilka V.
10. Prokes R.
9. Novak F.
73. Horansky A.
Substitutes
81. Volevecky T. (G)
30. Honzik D. (G)
85. Pospisil E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
09:11, 0 - 1, Marcel P. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:49, 1 - 1, Kern J. (G), Pospisil J. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
05:59, 2 - 1, Spilka V. (G),
Preview
Litomerice leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Litoměřice won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Litoměřice will win today's game, with odds of 2.61.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Litoměřice won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 66:67. (average 3.3:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Litoměřice won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 3.2:2.3).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Vsetin
11
8
2
1
0
46:17
29
4
Litomerice
12
6
1
2
3
44:31
22
Last Results with these Odds
Stadion Litoměřice - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.