Match Info
AIHLDate: 28 June 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
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Sydney Bears |
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Brisbane Lightning |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.34 |
7.00 |
4.50 |
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 |
1.34 |
5.85 |
5.05 |
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1.32 |
6.60 |
5.60 |
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1.33 |
6.86 |
5.83 |
Watch |
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1.29 |
6.20 |
5.30 |
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1.26 |
7.10 |
6.15 |
Watch |
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1.30 |
6.20 |
6.40 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.35) |
6.54 ↓
(7.66) |
5.55 ↑
(4.88) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 11.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sydney Bears
69.6% | Draw
13.9% | Brisbane Lightning
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Bears than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney Bears that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+4%)Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 12.5 - under (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 11.5, OT - over (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:4 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 00:37, 1 - 0, Brodie L. (G), Olive L. (A), Mozell D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 04:39, 2 - 0, Brodie L. (G), Mozell D. (A), Clare T. (A2)
- 09:57, 3 - 0, Withey F. (G), Remler-Jensen G. (A), Herrmann L. (A2)
- 13:08, 4 - 0, Olive L. (G), Mozell D. (A), Brodie L. (A2)
- 19:01, 5 - 0, Hayashi K. (G), Moncrieff N. (A), Mozell D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (3 - 0)
- 01:46, 6 - 0, Herrmann L. (G), Remler-Jensen G. (A), Nalos R. (A2)
- 13:36, 7 - 0, Hayashi K. (G), Brodie L. (A), Moncrieff N. (A2)
- 13:40, 8 - 0, Arps H. (G), Nalos R. (A), Clare T. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney Bears won 5.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games. In this match, Sydney Bears is seen as the favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sydney Bears won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 50:27. (average 6.3:3.4).Including home matches between the teams, Sydney Bears won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 7:4.7).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 7 | Sydney Bears | 24 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 98:108 | 34 |
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| 9 | Brisbane Lightning | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 125:166 | 22 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 17.05.26 | Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears | 4:7 | | 16.05.26 | Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears | 5:6 OT | | 18.04.26 | Sydney Bears - Brisbane Lightning | 6:4 | | 19.05.24 | Sydney Bears - Brisbane Lightning | 9:6 | | 12.05.24 | Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears | 1:8 | | 11.05.24 | Brisbane Lightning - Sydney Bears | 1:4 | | 06.08.23 | Sydney Bears - Brisbane Lightning | 6:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
