Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: TIWAG Arena (Innsbruck)


	TWK Innsbruck		Milano

	1	X	2
	2.60	4.50	2.05
	2.65	4.60	2.05
	2.70	4.40	2.02
	2.78	4.47	2.05
	2.41	4.63	2.26	Watch
	2.75	4.40	2.02
	2.72	4.25	2.06
	2.70	4.40	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.22)	4.46 ↓ (4.55)	2.07 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TWK Innsbruck
34.6%

Draw
20.7%

Milano
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

20.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TWK Innsbruck's form might have worsened.

Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milano's recent form is better than expected.

TWK Innsbruck - Milano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
38. Harvey S. (G)	30. Smith J. (G)
59. Messner J. (A)	51. Grant A.
77. Lindner P. (A)	22. Valentine S.
47. Witting M. (C)	92. Finoro G.
96. Owre S.	14. McKegg G.
21. Benker S.	91. Dal Colle M.
Line 2
18. Mayer C.	94. Wylie W.
65. Kernberger M.	3. Dello T.
20. Rappold K.	96. Hannoun D.
22. Davis B.	27. McLaughlin B.
63. Bretschneider N.	11. Caamano N.
Line 3
13. Frimmel W.	47. Pietroniro C.
12. Wichers Q.	5. Albis O. P.
95. Scherbak N.	88. Houde S.
16. Richards J.	67. Frycklund M.
71. Macierzynski K.	18. Saracino N.
Line 4
5. Kerber N.	4. Gios G.
29. Klingler L.	24. Madaschi T.
44. Mader T.	8. Cuglietta D.
89. Bar L.	37. Chiodo L.
Substitutes
81. Brandner J. (G)	83. Berti E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:06, 0 - 1, McLaughlin B. (G), Caamano N. (A), Hannoun D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:09, 1 - 1, Benker S. (G), Messner J. (A), Owre S. (A2)
04:34, 1 - 2, McKegg G. (G), Dello T. (A), Cuglietta D. (A2)
18:48, 1 - 3, Cuglietta D. (G), Dal Colle M. (A), Dello T. (A2)

Preview

Innsbruck arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Milano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Innsbruck in today's match, at odds of 2.33.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Milano: 4.57% TWK Innsbruck: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Milano	10	5	0	1	4	30:32	16
11	TWK Innsbruck	10	3	2	0	5	25:28	13

Last Results with these Odds

TWK Innsbruck - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.6%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TWK Innsbruck
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
11.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Olten	4:3
06.09.26	Ravensburg - TWK Innsbruck	2:5 ✺
04.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Regensburg	5:4 penalties
21.08.26	Thurgau - TWK Innsbruck	2:3 OT
15.08.26	TWK Innsbruck - Thurgau	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWWWW
- HC Milano
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.26	Milano - Vienna Capitals	5:4
27.08.26	Saskatchewan Huskies - Milano	6:5
25.08.26	EC KAC - Milano	2:0 ✺
Alps Hockey League
09.03.19	VEU Feldkirch - Milano	7:2 ✺
02.03.19	Vipiteno - Milano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLLLW

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