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Current Win Probability
Pustertal-Val Pusteria 61%
Draw 19.1%
TWK Innsbruck 19.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.9%
18.7%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
21.3%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pustertal-Val Pusteria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
TWK Innsbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pustertal-Val Pusteria than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
The ML Model estimate for TWK Innsbruck aligns with the current prediction.
Pustertal Val Pusteria - TWK Innsbruck Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Furlong C. (G)
38. Harvey S. (G)
77. Di Tomaso G.
59. Messner J. (A)
11. Lauridsen M. (A)
77. Lindner P. (A)
93. Lipon J.
21. Benker S.
91. Fitzgerald G.
96. Owre S.
17. Moncada L.
71. Macierzynski K.
Line 2
36. Osmanski A.
12. Wichers Q.
7. Farrance D.
18. Mayer C.
14. Ierullo A.
47. Witting M. (C)
10. Bardreau C.
16. Richards J.
16. Lobis A.
95. Scherbak N.
Line 3
55. Zanatta L.
13. Frimmel W.
21. Glira D. (C)
65. Kernberger M.
34. Purdeller T. (A)
20. Rappold K.
8. Fontaine G.
22. Davis B.
19. Zandegiacomo L.
89. Bar L.
Line 4
4. Stoffler E.
29. Klingler L.
63. Bretschneider N.
5. Kerber N.
Substitutes
30. Crepaz L. (G)
81. Brandner J. (G)
46. Deluca I.
22. Mantinger M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
01:27, 1 - 0, Lobis A. (G), Ierullo A. (A), Di Tomaso G. (A2)
02:12, 1 - 1, Witting M. (G), Scherbak N. (A), Mayer C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:19, 2 - 1, Osmanski A. (G), Ierullo A. (A), Fontaine G. (A2)
19:48, 2 - 2, Owre S. (G), Richards J. (A), Mayer C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:56, 2 - 3, Benker S. (G),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 6th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Val Pusteria won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Bookmakers give the edge to Val Pusteria for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Val Pusteria has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 92:53 (averaging 4.6:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Val Pusteria against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 46:25 goals (averaging 4.6:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Val Pusteria
13
7
2
1
3
40:31
26
13
TWK Innsbruck
16
3
3
0
10
34:53
15
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Val Pusteria: 5.69% TWK Innsbruck: 0.81%
Last Results with these Odds
TWK Innsbruck - the odds 5.32 are the expected chance of winning is 17.41%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.