The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valpellice 10.9%
Draw 14.6%
Kaltern 74.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
17.8%
18.2%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
20.6%
59.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valpellice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valpellice's form might have worsened.
Kaltern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaltern's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valpellice than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valpellice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaltern than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaltern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
06:49, 0 - 1, Rajamaki T. (G), Massar F. (A), Fink K. (A2)
18:19, 0 - 2, Andergassen R. (G), Alanne J. (A), Rajamaki T. (A2)
19:05, 0 - 3, Alanne J. (G), Andergassen R. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:16, 0 - 4, Felderer R. (G), Selva M. (A), Siiki O. (A2)
09:20, 1 - 4, Majul H. (G),
19:33, 2 - 4, Long C. (G), Pozzi M. (A), Borno M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 3)
03:36, 2 - 5, Selva M. (G), Andergassen R. (A), Alanne J. (A2)
04:45, 3 - 5, Pozzi M. (G), Semrad D. (A),
05:03, 4 - 5, Majul H. (G), Long C. (A),
07:55, 5 - 5, Majul H. (G), Pozzi M. (A), Long C. (A2)
18:17, 5 - 6, Fink K. (G), Oberhuber M. (A), Rajamaki T. (A2)
19:13, 5 - 7, Fink K. (G), Soelva M. (A), Andergassen R. (A2)
Preview
Valpellice has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kaltern is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Valpellice may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Valpellice has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:15 (averaging 3:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Valpellice against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals.
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