What is the expert prediction for Casey ONeill vs Gabriella Fernandes?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Casey ONeill vs Gabriella Fernandes. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Casey ONeill vs Gabriella Fernandes Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 28, 2026)

Match Info

FLYWEIGHT - WOMEN: UFC

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Casey ONeill		Gabriella Fernandes

	1	2
	1.83	2
	1.88	1.95
	1.82	2.09
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casey ONeill
52%

Gabriella Fernandes
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casey ONeill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Gabriella Fernandes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

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Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both fighters in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casey ONeill
MMA
17.08.24	Casey ONeill - Luana Santos	O'Neill C. win ✺
16.12.23	Casey ONeill - Ariane Lipski	Lipski A. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
09.09.23	Viviane Araujo - Casey ONeill	Canceled ✺
18.03.23	Jennifer Maia - Casey ONeill	Maia J. win ✺
12.02.22	Roxanne Modafferi - Casey ONeill	O'Neill C. win ✺
- Gabriella Fernandes
MMA
09.08.25	Gabriella Fernandes - Julija Stoliarenko	Fernandes G. win ✺
23.11.24	Cong Wang - Gabriella Fernandes	Fernandes G. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
15.06.24	Carli Judice - Gabriella Fernandes	Fernandes G. win ✺
17.06.23	Tereza Bledá - Gabriella Fernandes	Bleda T. win ✺
25.02.23	Jasmine Jasudavicius - Gabriella Fernandes	Jasudavicius J. win ✺

Casey ONeill - Gabriella Fernandes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Initial Probability

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preview

Form

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