German Bundesliga Table
Team
| Pl | W | D | L | Pts | |||
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 52:16 | 37 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31:22 | 36 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 39:24 | 35 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33:25 | 34 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 29 |
| 8 | B. Monchengladbach | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 34:29 | 25 |
| 9 | Bayer Leverkusen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 30:30 | 24 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29:37 | 24 |
| 11 | Mainz | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:29 | 23 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 29:31 | 22 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:31 | 19 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23:33 | 18 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:32 | 16 |
| 16 | Bochum | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 19:44 | 16 |
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:32 | 14 |
| 18 | Schalke | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14:41 | 10 |
Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
| team | position | project points | now | relegated | qualify for ucl | win league |
| Bayern Munich | 1 (82.18%) | 74 | 37 | <1% | >99% | 82% |
| RB Leipzig | 2 (38.52%) | 64 | 35 | <1% | 83% | 10% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 3 (22.36%) | 61 | 34 | <1% | 64% | 4% |
| Union Berlin | 4 (17.45%) | 58 | 36 | <1% | 42% | 1% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 (16.74%) | 57 | 32 | <1% | 39% | <1% |
| Freiburg | 5 (15.71%) | 56 | 34 | <1% | 35% | 1% |
| Wolfsburg | 6 (15.47%) | 53 | 29 | <1% | 24% | <1% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 8 (14.24%) | 48 | 24 | <1% | 5% | <1% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 (14.92%) | 46 | 25 | <1% | 4% | <1% |
| Mainz | 10 (13.55%) | 44 | 23 | 1% | 2% | <1% |
| Köln | 11 (13.44%) | 43 | 22 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| Werder Bremen | 12 (14.19%) | 42 | 24 | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Hoffenheim | 14 (14.17%) | 39 | 19 | 7% | <1% | <1% |
| Stuttgart | 14 (15.07%) | 37 | 16 | 14% | <1% | <1% |
| Augsburg | 15 (17.91%) | 35 | 18 | 21% | <1% | <1% |
| Bochum | 17 (22.54%) | 32 | 16 | 42% | <1% | <1% |
| Hertha Berlin | 17 (28.42%) | 30 | 14 | 51% | <1% | <1% |
| Schalke 04 | 18 (58.37%) | 25 | 10 | 81% | <1% | <1% |
