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Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)

teampositionproject pointsnowrelegatedqualify for uclwin league
Bayern München1 (100%)77770%100%100%
Borussia Dortmund2 (100%)69690%100%0%
Bayer Leverkusen3 (100%)64640%100%0%
RB Leipzig4 (100%)58580%100%0%
Union Berlin5 (100%)57570%0%0%
Freiburg6 (100%)55550%0%0%
Köln7 (100%)52520%0%0%
Mainz8 (100%)46460%0%0%
Hoffenheim9 (100%)46460%0%0%
Borussia Mönchengladbach10 (100%)45450%0%0%
Eintracht Frankfurt11 (100%)42420%0%0%
Wolfsburg12 (100%)42420%0%0%
Bochum13 (100%)42420%0%0%
Augsburg14 (100%)38380%0%0%
Stuttgart15 (100%)33330%0%0%
Hertha Berlin16 (100%)333333%0%0%
Arminia Bielefeld17 (100%)2828100%0%0%
Greuther Fürth18 (100%)1818100%0%0%
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