Probabilities (fivethirtyeight.com)
team | position | project points | now | relegated | promoted | win league |
Schalke 04 | 1 (100%) | 65 | 65 | 0% | 100% | 100% |
Werder Bremen | 2 (100%) | 63 | 63 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
Hamburger SV | 3 (100%) | 60 | 60 | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Darmstadt | 4 (100%) | 60 | 60 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
St. Pauli | 5 (100%) | 57 | 57 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Heidenheim | 6 (100%) | 52 | 52 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Paderborn | 7 (100%) | 51 | 51 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Nürnberg | 8 (100%) | 51 | 51 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Holstein Kiel | 9 (100%) | 45 | 45 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Fortuna Düsseldorf | 10 (100%) | 44 | 44 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Hannover | 11 (100%) | 42 | 42 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Karlsruher | 12 (100%) | 41 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Hansa Rostock | 13 (100%) | 41 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Sandhausen | 14 (100%) | 41 | 41 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Jahn Regensburg | 15 (100%) | 40 | 40 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Dynamo Dresden | 16 (100%) | 32 | 32 | 50% | 0% | 0% |
Erzgebirge Aue | 17 (100%) | 26 | 26 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
Ingolstadt | 18 (100%) | 21 | 21 | 100% | 0% | 0% |