Match Info

Ykköspesis

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	16:00	Ruutu+


	Jyväskylän Kiri		Haminan Palloilijat

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Jyväskylän Kiri
23.7%

Draw
31.8%

Haminan Palloilijat
44.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.5%

31.2%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

31.4%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jyväskylän Kiri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Haminan Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jyväskylän Kiri than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haminan Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiri won 1.

Kiri has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hamina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kiri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hamina is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kiri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jyväskylän Kiri
Finnish Ykköspesis
01.07.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Jyväskylän Kiri	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Nurmon Jymy - Jyväskylän Kiri	1:1 penalties ✺
24.06.26	Jyväskylän Kiri - Seinäjoen Maila-Jussit	1:1 penalties ✺
13.06.26	Puna-Mustat - Jyväskylän Kiri	2:1 penalties ✺
05.06.26	Jyväskylän Kiri - Siilinjärven Pesis	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Haminan Palloilijat
Finnish Ykköspesis
01.07.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Jyväskylän Kiri	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Puna-Mustat	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Kankaanpään Maila - Haminan Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Puna-Mustat	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Nurmon Jymy - Haminan Palloilijat	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

Finnish Ykköspesis
01.07.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Jyväskylän Kiri	2:0
29.05.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Jyväskylän Kiri	1:1 penalties
08.08.23	Jyväskylän Kiri - Haminan Palloilijat	0:1
28.06.23	Haminan Palloilijat - Jyväskylän Kiri	1:0
28.06.17	Jyväskylän Kiri - Haminan Palloilijat	1:2 EI
27.05.17	Haminan Palloilijat - Jyväskylän Kiri	1:0

Jyväskylän Kiri - Haminan Palloilijat