Match Info

Ykköspesis

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:00	Ruutu+


	Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2		Simon Kiri

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Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2
37%

Draw
32.3%

Simon Kiri
30.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

32.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Simon Kiri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simon Kiri than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KPL 2 won 4.

KPL 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Simon Kiri is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Simon Kiri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, KPL 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, KPL 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2
Finnish Ykköspesis
17.07.25	Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 - Puna-Mustat	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Koskenkorvan Urheilijat - Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2	1:1 penalties ✺
02.07.25	Kankaanpään Maila - Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Puna-Mustat - Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2	1:1 ✺
18.06.25	Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 - Puna-Mustat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLTL
- Simon Kiri
Finnish Ykköspesis
22.07.25	Simon Kiri - Ylivieskan Kuula	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Kannuksen Ura - Simon Kiri	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Simon Kiri - Puijon Pesis	1:1 penalties ✺
11.07.25	Simon Kiri - Siilinjärven Pesis	1:1 penalties ✺
09.07.25	Ylivieskan Kuula - Simon Kiri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLLW

Finnish Ykköspesis
15.06.24	Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 - Simon Kiri	2:0
05.06.24	Simon Kiri - Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2	0:2
10.06.23	Simon Kiri - Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2	2:1 penalties
20.05.23	Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 - Simon Kiri	2:1 EI
31.07.22	Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 - Simon Kiri	2:1 penalties
03.07.22	Simon Kiri - Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2	2:1 EI

Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 - Simon Kiri