Match Info

Ykköspesis

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:00	Ruutu+


	Ulvilan		Haminan Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	7	3.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7 ↓ (7.2)	3.8 ↓ (3.95)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)

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Ulvilan
12.6%

Draw
23.3%

Haminan Palloilijat
64.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.5%

22.8%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

21.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulvilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Haminan Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulvilan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haminan Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ulvilan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hamina is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulvilan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulvilan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulvilan Pesä-Veikot
Finnish Ykköspesis
04.07.26	Ulvilan - Kankaanpään Maila	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Kannuksen Ura - Ulvilan	1:1 penalties ✺
26.06.26	Simon Kiri - Ulvilan	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Ulvilan - Simon Kiri	1:1 penalties ✺
03.06.26	Seinäjoen Maila-Jussit - Ulvilan	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 WWLLW
- Haminan Palloilijat
Finnish Ykköspesis
04.07.26	Jyväskylän Kiri - Haminan Palloilijat	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Jyväskylän Kiri	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Puna-Mustat	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Kankaanpään Maila - Haminan Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Haminan Palloilijat - Puna-Mustat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW

Finnish Ykköspesis
17.07.19	Ulvilan - Haminan Palloilijat	0:2
02.08.17	Ulvilan - Haminan Palloilijat	1:2 penalties
04.06.17	Haminan Palloilijat - Ulvilan	2:0
20.07.16	Haminan Palloilijat - Ulvilan	0:2
05.06.16	Ulvilan - Haminan Palloilijat	2:0

Ulvilan - Haminan Palloilijat