Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 24

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Åskollen		Bærum

	1	X	2
	5.25	5	1.37
	6	5.5	1.35
	5.16	5.86	1.34
	5.44	5.83	1.36	Watch
	6.13	5.45	1.33
	6	5.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (3.62)	5.52 ↑ (4.6)	1.35 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Åskollen
16.1%

Draw
16.5%

Bærum
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

20%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

20.4%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Åskollen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Åskollen's form might have worsened.

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bærum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åskollen than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Åskollen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bærum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Åskollen - Bærum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Bransdal L. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Bransdal L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 3, Augdal M. ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, Arvesen C. S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Bærum is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Åskollen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Åskollen FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
30.09.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Åskollen	3:3 ✺
24.09.24	Åskollen - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Asker Fotball - Åskollen	5:2 ✺
07.09.24	Åskollen - Nordstrand	1:6 ✺
03.09.24	Mjøndalen 2 - Åskollen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWLLW
- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
29.09.24	Bærum - Skeid 2	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Frigg Oslo - Bærum	3:3 ✺
14.09.24	Bærum - Flint	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Ullern - Bærum	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Bærum - Nordstrand	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
20.04.24	Bærum - Åskollen	5:3

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