Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Çankaya		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.05	1.89
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.59	3	1.95
	3.74	3.34	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çankaya
25.2%

Draw
28.5%

Erokspor
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.7%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.6%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çankaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çankaya than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Çankaya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erokspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Çankaya - Erokspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)).

Çankaya has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erokspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Erokspor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çankaya FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
28.11.21	Kırıkkale Büyük - Çankaya	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	Çankaya - Derince Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Fethiyespor - Çankaya	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Çankaya - Karşıyaka	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Agrispor - Çankaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Erokspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
27.11.21	Erokspor - Karaköprü	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Tepecik Belediye - Erokspor	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Erokspor - Ceyhanspor	4:0 ✺
07.11.21	Gümüşhanespor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Erokspor - Orduspor 1967	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWTW

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