Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Round 1

Date: 9 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Corum Stadyumu (Corum)

Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Çorum		Konyaspor

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.83
	3.75	3.4	1.8
	3.7	3.2	1.83
	4.08	3.54	1.86
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	4.07	3.7	1.82	Watch
	3.7	3.2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.3)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	1.83 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çorum
23.7%

Draw
26.5%

Konyaspor
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

30.1%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çorum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Çorum's form might have worsened.

Konyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Konyaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Çorum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Konyaspor than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Konyaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Çorum - Konyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Çorum will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Konyaspor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Konyaspor: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Akinay H. (G) 19. Yalcinkaya M. 3. Landre L. 44. Rencber T. I. 39. Kas E. 6. Yazgan F. 34. Catic A. 7. Akdogan H. 14. Ergul T. 23. Sol O. 17. Kose A.	1. Ertas D. (G) 24. Boranijasevic N. 4. Demirbag A. 66. Kabak A. 3. Subasi K. 19. Akyol U. 26. Boateng E. 7. Tasci T. 77. Ibrahimoglu M. 28. Keyta H. 91. Bostan M.
Substitutes
96. Acisu A. S. 8. Akkaynak A. 92. Cangoz A. 29. Geraldo 94. Guler A. 33. Guler M. (G) 22. Kalafat K. 95. Kilicoglu B. 25. Seven K. 9. Verheydt T.	10. Erdogan Y. 37. Eris M. 12. Guilherme 16. Jevtovic M. 99. Kramer B. 8. Pedrinho 11. Prip L. 27. Slowik J. (G) 35. Ulgun O. 5. Yazgili U.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Ucar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yazgan F. ↓, Cangoz A. ↑,
46', Kose A. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
46', Landre L. ↓, Seven K. ↑,
59', Ergul T. ↓, Akkaynak A. ↑,
69', Keyta H. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
69', Akyol U. ↓, Erdogan Y. ↑,
69', Bostan M. ↓, Kramer B. ↑,
69', Catic A. ↓, Geraldo ↑,
80', Tasci T. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
82', Sol O. ↓, Kalafat K. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Kramer B. ⚽, Erdogan Y. (A),
86', Ibrahimoglu M. ↓, Ulgun O. ↑,
88', Kabak A. ↓, Jevtovic M. ↑,

Preview

Çorum is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Konyaspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Konyaspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çorum FK
Turkish First League
04.01.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Çorum	0:0 ✺
22.12.24	Çorum - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
19.12.24	24 Erzincanspor - Çorum	4:6 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Çorum - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Manisa FK - Çorum	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWTW
- Konyaspor
Turkish Super League
03.01.25	Alanyaspor - Konyaspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.24	Konyaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.12.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Konyaspor - Antalyaspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Konyaspor - Kepez Belediyesi	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTTW

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