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Current Win Probability
Épila 43.4%
Draw 32.5%
Cariñena 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
27.8%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
28.6%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Épila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Épila's form might have worsened.
Cariñena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épila than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Épila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Épila - Cariñena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Épila won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Cariñena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cariñena has had a series of home games.
In this match, Épila is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Épila won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Épila won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
Watch
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