Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Épila		Tamarite

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.88	4.05
	1.93	3.02	4.22
	1.14	6.31	22.12	Watch
	1.95	3.18	4.11
	2.17	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.03)	3.67 ↑ (3.05)	7.57 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Épila
57.6%

Draw
28.6%

Tamarite
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

31.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Épila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Épila's performance.

Tamarite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tamarite might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épila than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Épila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamarite than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamarite could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Épila - Tamarite Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Arino M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Épila could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Épila won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Épila won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Épila CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.11.25	Atlético Monzón - Épila	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Épila - Almudévar	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Cariñena - Épila	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Épila - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Huesca B - Épila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLT
- CDJ Tamarite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.11.25	Tamarite - Belchite	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Andorra CF - Tamarite	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tamarite - Utrillas	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Robres - Tamarite	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Atlético Monzón - Tamarite	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
19.01.25	Épila - Tamarite	1:2
14.01.24	Tamarite - Épila	2:1
02.04.23	Épila - Tamarite	0:2
04.12.22	Tamarite - Épila	2:2
23.04.21	Tamarite - Épila	1:1

Épila - Tamarite: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide