Match Info

National 2 - Group B - Round 7

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Colombière (Épinal)


	Épinal		Thionville Lusitanos

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.32	2.23
	2.85	3.2	2.3
	2.75	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.31)	3.26 ↑ (3.05)	2.25 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Épinal
32.2%

Draw
27.7%

Thionville Lusitanos
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Épinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Épinal's form might have worsened.

Thionville Lusitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thionville Lusitanos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Épinal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thionville Lusitanos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Épinal - Thionville Lusitanos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National).

Épinal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Thionville Lusitanos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Épinal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Épinal - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Épinal FC
French National 1 - Group B
19.09.25	Colmar - Épinal	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Épinal - Feignies Aulnoye	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Épinal - Beauvais Oise	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Furiani-Agliani - Épinal	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Chantilly - Épinal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLTW
- US Thionville Lusitanos
French National 1 - Group B
20.09.25	Thionville Lusitanos - St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	Biesheim - Thionville Lusitanos	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Blois Foot 41	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Haguenau - Thionville Lusitanos	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Wasquehal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
03.05.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Épinal	0:1

Épinal - Thionville Lusitanos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide