Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Étoile Carouge		Brühl

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.75	3.75
	1.68	4.08	4.21
	1.65	4.05	4.05
	1.7	3.95	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)	3.96 ↑ (3.86)	3.99 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
53.9%

Draw
23.2%

Brühl
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

23.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

22.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Brühl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brühl than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Étoile Carouge - Brühl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antonio S. (G) 13. Zoukit N. 27. Munishi H. 7. Correia O. 17. Vieira M. 8. Chappuis A. (C) 24. Kursner R. 22. Rufli V. 10. Caslei B. 4. Magnin M. 25. Felder V.	1. Berisha A. (G) 7. Kucani S. 21. Capozzi G. 16. Cavar M. 12. Wornhard J. 27. Bachmann T. 5. Neitzke A. 6. Holenstein C. (C) 11. Di Nucci S. 9. Silvio C. 10. Dorta F.
Substitutes
18. Diallo M. M. (G) 21. Fernandez R. 14. Hysenaj F. 5. Mulliqi B. 20. Nvendo Ferrier V. 80. Oberli B. 29. Prats Barbaran C. D.	33. Bajrami M. 19. Domoraud Operi S. 20. Freimann B. T. 23. Heim C. (G) 3. Lovakovic J. 32. Mettler M. 28. Prokopic B.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Étoile won 3.

Étoile is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brühl has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Étoile is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Étoile to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Étoile won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Étoile won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
17.09.23	Servette U21 - Étoile Carouge	1:3 ✺
09.09.23	Étoile Carouge - Delémont	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Étoile Carouge - Kriens	4:0 ✺
30.08.23	Étoile Carouge - Bavois	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Cham - Étoile Carouge	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Brühl SG
Swiss Cup
17.09.23	Brühl - Lausanne-Sport	0:4 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
09.09.23	Bavois - Brühl	5:1 ✺
03.09.23	Brühl - Bulle	0:1 ✺
30.08.23	Brühl - St. Gallen II	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Paradiso - Brühl	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
25.02.23	Brühl - Étoile Carouge	3:3
24.08.22	Étoile Carouge - Brühl	4:0
13.11.21	Étoile Carouge - Brühl	2:1
22.05.21	Brühl - Étoile Carouge	2:2
15.08.20	Étoile Carouge - Brühl	5:1
24.08.19	Étoile Carouge - Brühl	2:0
02.04.16	Étoile Carouge - Brühl	1:2

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