Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Étoile Carouge		Servette U21

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.8	6.75
	1.35	4.75	7
	1.32	5.25	8.1
	1.32	5.25	8.11
	1.31	5.05	7.43
	1.35	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)	4.98 ↑ (4.8)	7.4 ↑ (6.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
69.1%

Draw
18.5%

Servette U21
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

19.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

18.1%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Servette U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette U21 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Étoile Carouge - Servette U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Zbinden L. (G) 22. Rufli V. 11. Simbakoli U. 13. Zoukit N. 14. Hysenaj F. 6. El Jaouhari M. 8. Chappuis A. (C) 80. Oberli B. 7. Correia O. 12. Adeagbo E. 25. Felder V.	1. Tomas J. (G) 2. Kaloga I. 5. Vlasenko N. 4. Fankhauser S. 17. Baddy Dega S. 8. Abdullah R. 20. Diba S. 6. Simo J. (C) 7. Tritten V. 10. Sestito L. 11. Petrisot I.
Substitutes
18. Diallo M. M. (G) 9. Eleouet A. 21. Fernandez R. 24. Kursner R. 5. Mulliqi B. 27. Munishi H. 20. Nvendo Ferrier V.	19. Annor-Mensah F. 13. Behrami V. 22. Daf O. 9. Lahiouel Y. 25. Leclercq M. 18. Omeragic A. (G) 21. Sene O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Zoukit N. ⚽,
42', Baddy Dega S. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Correia O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kaloga I. ↓, Behrami V. ↑,
46', Tritten V. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Sestito L. ⚽,
58', El Jaouhari M. ↓, Mulliqi B. ↑,
59', Correia O. ↓, Eleouet A. ↑,
59', Hysenaj F. ↓, Munishi H. ↑,
59', Abdullah R. ↓, Lahiouel Y. ↑,
63', Oberli B. ↓, Kursner R. ↑,
73', Sestito L. ↓, Daf O. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Lahiouel Y. ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Munishi H. ⚽,
87', Rufli V. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Étoile is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Servette U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Étoile is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Étoile won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Étoile won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
17.03.24	Delémont - Étoile Carouge	3:2 ✺
09.03.24	Kriens - Étoile Carouge	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Étoile Carouge - Cham	3:3 ✺
24.02.24	Bavois - Étoile Carouge	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Étoile Carouge - Bulle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTWW
- Servette U21
Swiss Promotion League
17.03.24	Servette U21 - Cham	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bavois - Servette U21	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Servette U21 - Bulle	4:1 ✺
24.02.24	Paradiso - Servette U21	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Servette U21 - St. Gallen II	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.01.24	Étoile Carouge - Servette U21	Canceled
Swiss Promotion League
17.09.23	Servette U21 - Étoile Carouge	1:3

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