Match Info

Championnat National - Round 14

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Étoile Filante du Togo		OTR

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.45	2.88
	2.68	2.49	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.07)	2.47 ↓ (2.9)	2.92 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Filante du Togo
33.5%

Draw
36%

OTR
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

31.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

30.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Filante du Togo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Étoile Filante du Togo's form might have worsened.

OTR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OTR's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Filante du Togo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Étoile Filante du Togo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OTR than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OTR, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Étoile Filante du Togo - OTR Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 12).

Étoile Filante has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

OTR has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Étoile Filante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Étoile Filante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Etoile Filante	26	12	4	10	19:14	5	40
13	OTR	26	8	5	13	20:27	-7	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Filante du Togo
Togolese Championnat National
30.01.26	Étoile Filante du Togo - Espoir de Tsévié	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tambo - Étoile Filante du Togo	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Étoile Filante du Togo - ASKO Kara	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Unisport de Sokodé - Étoile Filante du Togo	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Étoile Filante du Togo - Dynamic Togolais	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTL
- AS OTR Lomé
Togolese Championnat National
01.02.26	Binah - OTR	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	OTR - Entente II Lomé	2:3 ✺
11.01.26	Tambo - OTR	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	OTR - ASKO Kara	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Unisport de Sokodé - OTR	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Togolese Championnat National
08.11.25	OTR - Étoile Filante du Togo	1:2

Étoile Filante du Togo - OTR: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide