Match Info

Superettan - Round 4

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Örebro

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4
	2	3.4	3.25
	1.77	3.73	4.31	Watch
	1.8	3.9	4.34
	1.78	3.73	4.23	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	1.76	3.82	4.35	Watch
	1.77	3.73	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.1)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	4.01 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Örgryte
51.1%

Draw
25.5%

Örebro
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

26.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Örgryte's performance.

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Örebro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Örgryte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Örebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Örgryte - Örebro Predictions

Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rahm A. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 3. Azulay J. 15. Dahlqvist I. 24. Svensson W. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. 11. Christoffersson N. 14. Paulson D. (C) 22. Sana T.	30. Runheim B. (G) 3. Kack O. 16. Soderstrom H. 4. McCue E. 11. Kroon S. 21. Alperud L. 14. Shagaxle H. 6. Bajrovic M. 2. Ghasem A. 17. Holmberg K. (C) 9. Yakoub A.
Substitutes
31. Abukar A. 28. Ahmed I. 9. Andersson L. 16. Dahlqvist H. 44. Gustafsson H. (G) 17. Keita M. 21. Kenndal W.	7. Andersson E. 19. Asumang B. 18. Hrastovina E. 1. Pahlsson M. (G) 22. Shlimon L. 20. Swartling C. 10. Tipura S.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Kenic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Svensson W. ⚽, Mujanic A. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Dahlqvist I. ⚽, Andreasson A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shagaxle H. ↓, Shlimon L. ↑,
47', Kack O. ↓, Tipura S. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Andreasson A. ⚽, Christoffersson N. (A),
47', McCue E. 🟨,
51', Andreasson A. 🟨,
64', Yakoub A. ↓, Hrastovina E. ↑,
73', Andreasson A. ↓, Dahlqvist H. ↑,
73', Svensson W. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,
74', Alperud L. ↓, Andersson E. ↑,
83', Paulson D. ↓, Abukar A. ↑,
83', Christoffersson N. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
83', Mujanic A. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
88', Bajrovic M. ↓, Swartling C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 2.

Recent matches Örgryte is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Örebro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Örebro have a series of home games.

Örgryte will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Örgryte won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
12.04.25	Örgryte - Sundsvall	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Västerås SK - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Örgryte - Utsikten	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
01.03.25	Örgryte - Brage	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Brommapojkarna - Örgryte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWWL
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
15.04.25	Örebro - Helsingborg	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Örebro - Västerås SK	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Örebro - Brommapojkarna	1:3 ✺
05.03.25	Örebro - Östersund	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
12.08.24	Örgryte - Örebro	3:1
20.07.24	Örebro - Örgryte	0:0
01.09.23	Örgryte - Örebro	0:3
16.05.23	Örebro - Örgryte	0:0
08.08.22	Örebro - Örgryte	0:1
05.07.22	Örgryte - Örebro	2:0
Svenska Cupen
27.02.22	Örebro - Örgryte	1:3

Upcoming Matches