Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 22

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Örgryte		Sirius

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.41
	6.00	4.75	1.44
	6.5	4.4	1.45
	6.57	5.03	1.45
	6.36	5.13	1.43	Watch
	6.5	4.95	1.42
	6.1	4.83	1.47	Watch
	6	4.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.25 ↑ (5.52)	4.83 ↑ (4.45)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
15%

Draw
19.5%

Sirius
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

20.6%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

19.4%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Örgryte - Sirius Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sirius will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Örgryte (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 18. Andersson A. 33. Lagerlund S. 6. Dyrestam M. 25. Hammar J. 19. Andreasson A. 14. Paulson D. (C) 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Laturnus B. 22. Sana T. 17. Hofvander W.	34. Celic D. (G) 5. Castegren H. (C) 2. Soumah M. 4. Anker T. 22. Krusnell O. 24. Svensson V. 10. Heier M. 6. Lindberg M. 30. Vancsa Z. 9. Uneken J. 11. Bjerkebo I.
Substitutes
9. Andersson L. 3. Azulay J. 29. Ebietomere M. 21. Kenndal W. 11. Obou D. 2. Parker M. 34. Rahm A. (G) 5. Styffe C. 7. Vindehall C.	25. Adindu O. 29. Andersson A. 1. Diawara I. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 17. Jonsson N. 21. Nilden C. 7. Persson J. 15. Sandberg S. 18. Wikman A.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Engelmark A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Castegren H. ⚽, Bjerkebo I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Svensson V. ⚽, Vancsa Z. (A),
65', Lindberg M. 🟨,
67', Andersson A. ↓, Obou D. ↑,
67', Andreasson A. ↓, Parker M. ↑,
72', Vancsa Z. ↓, Jonsson N. ↑,
72', Svensson V. ↓, Nilden C. ↑,
80', Dyrestam M. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
80', Parker-Price O. ↓, Ebietomere M. ↑,
83', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Sandberg S. ↑,
85', Nilden C. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Lagerlund S. ⚽, Sana T. (A),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th in the Relegation ~ Superettan and 1st in the Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this matchup, Sirius is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Örgryte: Abukar A. (Knee Injury) Alm R. (Injury) Svensson W. (Injury) Tibbling J. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Örgryte: Ekblom V. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sirius: Liimatta O. (Inactive).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Örgryte has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:8 (averaging 0.7:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Örgryte against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Sirius: 73.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sirius	22	16	3	3	52:28	24	51
15	Orgryte	22	3	6	13	25:49	-24	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.26	Malmö - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
06.09.26	Örgryte - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Örgryte	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
25.08.26	Eskilsminne - Örgryte	1:3 AET ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.08.26	Örgryte - Halmstad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLWT
- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.26	Sirius - Degerfors	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Västerås SK - Sirius	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Sirius - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.08.26	Friska Viljor - Sirius	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.08.26	Sirius - Häcken	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
11.05.26	Sirius - Örgryte	2:0
Swedish Superettan
17.10.16	Sirius - Örgryte	4:1
15.05.16	Örgryte - Sirius	1:2

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