Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday


	Österlen		Qviding

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.25	2.2
	2.85	3.85	2.05
	2.85	3.7	2.05
	2.95	3.93	2.12
	2.88	3.58	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.43)	3.66 ↑ (3.56)	2.12 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Österlen
31.8%

Draw
25%

Qviding
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

18.8%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Österlen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Österlen's form might have worsened.

Qviding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qviding's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Österlen than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qviding than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qviding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Österlen - Qviding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion)).

Österlen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qviding is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Österlen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Österlen FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
15.05.21	Oskarshamn - Österlen	4:1 ✺
08.05.21	Österlen - Torn	1:3 ✺
01.05.21	Linköping City - Österlen	1:5 ✺
24.04.21	Österlen - Tvååker	0:1 ✺
17.04.21	Skövde AIK - Österlen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Qviding FIF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
13.05.21	Torn - Qviding	1:4 ✺
09.05.21	Qviding - Linköping City	3:1 ✺
01.05.21	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Qviding	4:5 ✺
24.04.21	Qviding - IFK Malmö	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Tvååker - Qviding	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWTT

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