Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Jamtkraft Arena (Ostersund)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Östersund		Brommapojkarna

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.2	3.6	2.06
	3.15	3.45	2.06
	3.32	3.53	2.23
	3.2	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.58	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (4.13)	3.47 ↓ (3.75)	2.09 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Östersund
29%

Draw
26.7%

Brommapojkarna
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.5%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

23.7%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Östersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Östersund's performance.

Brommapojkarna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brommapojkarna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Östersund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brommapojkarna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	10.5%	52.6%

Östersund - Brommapojkarna Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Östersund will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Brommapojkarna will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brommapojkarna: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Recent matches Östersund is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brommapojkarna in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Brommapojkarna is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
14.08.22	Skövde AIK - Östersund	1:3 ✺
07.08.22	Östersund - Landskrona	3:1 ✺
03.08.22	Brage - Östersund	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Östersund - Jönköpings Södra	1:1 ✺
23.07.22	Landskrona - Östersund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWLTT
- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Superettan
15.08.22	Brommapojkarna - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0 ✺
08.08.22	Västerås SK - Brommapojkarna	0:1 ✺
03.08.22	Brommapojkarna - Örebro	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Skövde AIK - Brommapojkarna	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Brommapojkarna - Norrby	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTW

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